Archives: Preferred PM

NZ Herald Digipoll April 2012

May 1, 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 697 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 29 April 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.1% (-2.8%)
  • Labour 34.8% (+6.8%)
  • Green 9.2% (-2.6%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.7% (+1.3%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-1.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.1% (-1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 12
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 611 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 57/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.9% (-2.4%)
  • Shearer 13.1% (-6.4% from Goff)
  • Peters 6.4% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.2% (-5.2%)
  • Wrong 42.1% (+5.4%)
  • Unsure 8.7% (-0.2%)

Paid Parental Leave

  • In favour of extending to 26 weeks 48.6%
  • Against 48.4%

Sky City deal

  • 40.3% disapprove
  • 37.7% approve so long as number of pokies over the city drops

 

Leave a comment

3 News Reid Research Poll April 2012

April 22, 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 14 to 19 April 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.8% (+2.3%)
  • Labour 29.4% (nc)
  • Green 14.1% (+0.8%)
  • ACT 0.2% (nc)
  • Maori 1.6%  (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.9% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (-2.7%)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 56/122 -six less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 44.2% (-1.6%)
  • Shearer 10.4% (+0.3%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 59.9% (-0.6%) doing well vs 24.0% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net rating is +35.9% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer  – 32.5% (-2.6%) doing well vs 26.2% (+9.0%) doing poorly – net positive is +6.3% (-11.6%)
Leave a comment

NZ Herald Digipoll 25 November 2011

November 25, 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.7%

Poll Size: 850 respondents, of whom 785 had a party vote preference

Dates: 17 to 23 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.9% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-1.1%)
  • Green 11.8% (-0.8%)
  • NZ First 5.2% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 0.4% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-01.%)
  • ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-0.1%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 34
  • Green 15
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 126

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/126 – 2 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 56/126 -8 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 66.3% (-2.2%)
  • Goff 19.5% (+1.6%)
  • Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)
Leave a comment

3 News Reid Research Poll 24 Nov 2011

November 24, 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: assumed 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 50.8% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-1.4%)
  • Green 13.4% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.1% (-0.4%)
  • Conservative 1.8% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 34
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 49.0% (nc)
  • Goff 12.0% (+2.0%)
  • Peters 4.0% (nc)
Leave a comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll 24 Nov 2011

November 24, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-3.0%)
  • ACT 1.7% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.0% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 4.2% (+2.0%)
  • Conservative 2.4% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52% (-1%)
  • Phil Goff 15% (+2%)
Leave a comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll 17 November 2011

November 20, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006

Undecideds:

Dates: 12 November to 16 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+4.0%)
  • ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.6% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana 2= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53% (-2%)
  • Phil Goff 13% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 3%
Leave a comment

Waiariki poll November 2011

November 14, 2011

Digipoll did a poll of 400 respondents in the Waiariki electorate for Te Karere.

Party Vote

  • Maori 40%
  • Labour 28%
  • Mana 15%
  • National 9%
  • NZ First 5%
  • Greens 3%

Electorate Vote

  • Te Ururoa Flavell (Maori) 56%
  • Louis Te Kani (Labour) 22%
  • Annette Sykes (Mana) 22%

Preferred PM

  • John Key 19%
  • Pita Sharples 9%
  • Phil Goff 7%
  • Shane Jones 6%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Tariana Turia 4%

Government Direction

  • Right 27%
  • Wrong 60%

Most favoured Maori MP

  • Te Ururoa Flavell 27%
  • Pita Sharples 15%
  • Hone Harawira 13%
  • Tariana Turia 9%
  • Shane Jones 5%
  • Metiria Turei 2%

Most Important Issue

  • Jobs 16%
  • Education 12%
  • Environment 9%
  • Economy 9%

Well being

  • Better Off 21%
  • Worse Off 44%
  • No difference 35%
Leave a comment

3 News Reid Research Poll 13 November 2011

November 13, 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 3 November to 10 November 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 53.3% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 29.9% (-0.3%)
  • Green 10.2% (+0.8%)
  • ACT 0.7% (-0.8%)
  • Maori 1.4%  (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 -11 less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 50.0% (-2.7%)
  • Goff 12.4% (+2.6%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 68.9% (-2.2%) doing well vs 17.2% (-0.7%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.7% (-1.5%)
  • Goff  – 34.6% (+6.2%) doing well vs 44.8% (-9.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -10.2% (+15.6%)
Leave a comment

NZ Herald Digipoll 11 November 2011

November 11, 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 689 had a party vote preference

Dates: 03 to 09 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 28.7% (-1.2%)
  • Green 12.6% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 3.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 0.5% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.8% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 36
  • Green 16
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 53/124 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 68.5% (-2.1%)
  • Goff 17.9% (+6.2%)
  • Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)
Leave a comment

Fairfax Research International poll early November 2011

November 9, 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Dates: 03 to 07 November 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (-0.1%)
  • Labour 25.9% (-5.4%)
  • Green 12.6% (+2.9%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.8% (+1.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 33
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52.2% (-0.6%)
  • Phil Goff 13.5% (+4.4%)

 

Leave a comment
« Later posts
Earlier posts »

Curia's blog specialises in polls and polling, with a mainly New Zealand focus. More

Never miss a poll: Subscribe via email

Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
Embed | Methodology

Explore the Archives

By date

By company

By issue

Get our paywalled newsletter on polling insights Subscribe

Get Curia's blog posts
via email