3 News Reid Research Poll May 2013
May 26, 2013
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 849 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 12.8%
Dates: 17 to 23 May 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3NewsPoll may 2013
Party Support
- National 47.1% (-2.3%)
- Labour 33.1% (+2.9%)
- Green 12.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
- Maori 2.2% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.2% (-1.6%)
- Conservative 1.5% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 41
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 40.7% (+3.1%)
- Shearer 10.5% (+0.5%)
- Peters 6.1% (+0.8%)
- Norman 3.6% (+0.3%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 55.0% (-0.3%) well and 30.3% (-1.9%) poor = +24.7% net well (+1.6%)
- David Shearer – 36.2% (+3.8%) well and 36.3% (+0.5%) poor = -0.1% net well (+3.3%)
Labour/Green power policy
- Support 54%
- Oppose 39%
Waka Jumping
- 77% support a law to allow parties to expel from Parliament List MPs
- 18% opposed
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