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Herald DigiPoll December 2015

December 15, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 04 to 14 December 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.3% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.1% (+0.1%)
  • Green 8.2% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.7% (-1.2%)
  • Maori 2.1% (+1.9%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 10 = 47/121 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 65.2% (+1.5%)
  • Andrew Little 16.2% (+2.9%)
  • Winston Peters 7.9% (-3.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.8% (-1.1%)

TPP

  • 27% support (+5%)
  • 26% oppose (-6%)
  • 46% no view (nc)

Iraq

  • Support deployment 63% (+4%)
  • Oppose deployment 30% (-4%)

Obesity

  • 53% say school tuck shops should ban unhealthy food
  • 44% disagree

US Ship Visits

  • 50% say a US visit would be positive
  • 29% don’t want a visit
  • 16% say a visit would be a triumph for NZ nuclear free policy

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.5%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 664 had a party preference

Dates: 10 to 17 July 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.9% (+4.5%)
  • Labour 26.5% (-4.0%)
  • Green 9.9% (-0.8%)
  • NZ First 4.6% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.7%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.2% (+0.8%)
  • Conservative 1.2% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 34
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – eight more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 13 + Mana/Internet 3 = 49/124 -14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/124

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 73.3% (+7.4%)
  • Cunliffe 10.5% (-2.2%)
  • Peters 5.5% (-0.7%)
  • Norman 2.0% (-0.5%)

Fat Tax

  • 55% support a fat tax on sugar-high food
  • 43% oppose

Healthy Star Ratings

  • 82% support introduction

Education

  • 61% want money spent on improving teaching standards
  • 35% on reducing class sizes

School Donations

  • 52% support Labour policy of $100 per student funding if they do not ask for a donation
  • 37% say it is unfair

Cunliffe man apology

  • 42% say was silly and showed poor judgement
  • 45% say unusual way to make point about domestic violence

Auckland Council

  • 43% of Aucklanders want staff and salary cuts for Auckland Council
  • 20% support rates going up more than 2.5%
  • 19% support delaying the City Rail Link
  • 9% support reducing services
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