3 News Reid Research Poll September 2011
October 2, 2011
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 22 September to 28 September 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 57.4% (+3.4%)
- Labour 26.6% (-2.2%)
- Green 9.8% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.6% (-0.6%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.7% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.9% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 33
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 12 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 46/124 -16 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 54.5% (+1.5%)
- Goff 6.2% (-1.8%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 76.2% (+1.3%) doing well vs 11.5% (-3.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.7% (+4.3%)
- Goff – 26.8% (+0.7%) doing well vs 49.1% (-3.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -22.3% (+4.1%)
Feeling after three years
- 24% say worse off from three years ago
- 19% better off
Greens
- 55% say Greens should accept a coalition deal with National if Key offers one
- 30% say they should not
- 60% of Green voters says Greens should accept and only 27% say no
- 63% of National voters say Greens should accept and only 25% say no
Leave a comment