Roy Morgan on biggest issues
July 5, 2017
Roy Morgan reports on the biggest issues:
- Poverty 14%
- House prices 13.7%
- Homelessness 9.6%
- Government 6.2%
- Immigration 5.5%
Leave a comment
Roy Morgan poll February 2017
February 28, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 852 of whom 805 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 30 January to 12 February 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 8.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 32
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 10
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 = 48/121 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/121
On this poll National would govern with ACT and United Future.
Country Direction
- Right 63.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 23.5% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)
Most Important Issues
- Housing 26% (-1%)
- Poverty 17% (+1%)
One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2017
February 20, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,003 voters of whom 808 have a voting preference
Undecideds: 15%
Dates: 11 February to 15 February 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (-4%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2%)
- Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 11.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.8% (+0.8)
- Conservative 0.2% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 13
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 13 + Maori 1 = 14/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 31.0% (-5% from Key)
- Andrew Little 7% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 8% (nc)
- Jacinda Ardern 4% (+3%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 48% (+5%)
- Worse 22% (-11%)
- Same 30% (+6%)
Influential Issues
- Housing 27%
- Education 20%
- Economy 16%
- Health 15%
- Environment 9%
- Immigration 9%
- Child Poverty 5%
- Jobs 5%
- Crime 4%
Most Important Issue
- Housing 16%
- Economy 11%
- Health 8%
- Education 7%
- Immigration 6%
- Environment 5%
Summer Holidays shift to February
- Support 32%
- Oppose 52%
Waitangi Day
- Govt continue to attend at Waitangi 61%
- Stop attending 31%
Euthanasia Poll April 2015
May 4, 2015
Research NZ surveyed 501 people:
- 74% support doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 20% opposed to doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 51% support a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 41% opposed to a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
Head of State Poll April 2015
May 4, 2015
New Zealand Republic announced:
Our annual poll was conducted between April 6 and April 21 and shows 47% of Kiwis want our next Head of State to be a New Zealander. This is a rise of 3% since June 2014.
This is great news for our campaign with the poll showing a corresponding decrease in support for the British Monarch to 46%. This is the highest ever result in our annual poll and the first time we have measured higher support than the Monarchy. Undecided voters remained at 7%.
The poll of 1000 people was carried out on landlines by Curia Market Research.
The detailed results were:
What is your preference for New Zealand’s next Head of State out of the following three options?
* The next British Monarch becomes King of New Zealand? 46%
* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State elected by a two thirds majority in Parliament 11%
* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State who is elected by the popular vote 36%
Q+A poll on Iraq
April 26, 2015
One News reports:
A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.
-
49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.
-
30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.
-
9% said it is for some other reason.
-
11% don’t know.
One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2015
April 19, 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 9%
Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 9% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
- NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 38
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (+1.0%)
- Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)
Economic Direction
- Better 48% (-5%)
- Worse 28% (+4%)
- Same 24% (+1%)
Cannabis
- Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
- Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
- Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
- Should be legalised 7% (-2%)
Zero hour contracts
- Should be illegal 77%
- Not illegal 19%
David Bain
- Should be paid compensation 69%
- No compensation 19%
Te Tai Hauāuru poll August 2014
August 27, 2014
Reid Research have done a 500 person poll of Te Tai Hauāuru for Maori TV. Key results are:
Party Vote
- Labour 36% (-6% from election)
- Maori Party 23% (+2%)
- National 12% (+4%)
- Greens 11% (nc)
- Internet Mana 11% (+3%)
- NZ First 7% (-1%)
Electorate Vote
- Maori Party 32% (-16%)
- Labour 29% (-1%)
- Greens 11% (nc)
- Mana 10% (+1%)
Most important issues (rated 6/10 or higher)
- Family violence 96%
- Education 95%
- Child poverty 95%
- Cost of living 93%
- Te Reo Maori 93%
- Maori unemployment 90%
- Housing 87%
- Maori Leadership 81%
- Mining 62%
If Maori Party balance of power
- Prefer Labour 63%
- Prefer National 24%
If National wins, Should Maori Party work with them?
- Yes 67%
- No 27%
Fairfax Ipsos poll June 2014
June 19, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1017 respondents of whom 777 have a party preference
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 14 to 17 June 2014
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 56.6% (+8.9%)
- Labour 23.2% (-6.3%)
- Green 11.9% (-0.9%)
- NZ First 3.2% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.7% (-1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.7% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.2% (+0.7%)
- Conservative 0.9% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 72
- Labour 30
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – twelve more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 30 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 47/123 – fifteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53.3% (+4.7%)
- David Cunliffe 11.9% (-1.5%)
- Winston Peters 2.5% (-0.9%)
- Russel Norman 2.8% (+0.8%)
Country Direction
- Right 63.1% (-0.5%)
- Wrong 35.4% (-0.2%)
Time for a Change of Government
- Yes 43.8% (-2.5%)
- No 48.0% (-0.1%)
Government Performance Out of 10
- 0 – 2: 9.4% (+0.4%)
- 3 – 7: 66.0% (-1.0%)
- 8 – 10: 24.0% (nc)
Most Important Issues
- Education 22%
- Economy 21%
- Health 19%
- Unemployment 14%
- Housing Affordability 12%
- Immigration 4%
MMP Electorate seat threshold
- 82% against “coat tailing”
- 14% in favour
Expectation of tax cuts
- 30% expect tax cuts
- 61% do not
John Key
- 22% say they would vote National if John Key stood down
- 36% say they might depending on who replaced him
- 39% would not
Most important issues
May 31, 2014
Roy Morgan reports:
When asked about the most important problem facing New Zealand, 44% of New Zealanders mention some kind of Economic issue. This is up 2% since February 2014 and still well ahead of Social issues (21%, unchanged), Government/ Public policy/ Human rights issues (18%, down 1%) and Environmental issues (8%, down 1%).
The most important Economic issues facing New Zealand include Poverty / The gap between the rich and the poor (18%, up 2%), Economy/ Financial crisis/ Recession/ Inflation/ Exchange rate/ High dollar (8%, down 2%), Unemployment/ Job security (8%, up 1%) and the Cost of living/ Increasing prices/ Financial hardship/ Household debt (5%, unchanged).
Other important issues mentioned by New Zealanders are the Government/ Politicians/ Leadership/ Government spending (6%, down 2%), Drugs/ Alcohol Issues/ Drink Driving (5%, up 1%), Housing shortage/ Affordability (5%, up 2%), Social apathy/ Lack of values/ Lack of empathy towards others/ Intolerance (4%, down 1%) and Education (3%, unchanged).