One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom around 801 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 27 May to 31 May 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.6% (-3.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.1%%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 1.4% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 37
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122
On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 29.0% (+3%)
- Andrew Little 8% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 7% (-2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 6% (-3%)
2017 Budget
- 44% support tax changes
- 30% opposed
Housing
- Government taking right approach 30%
- Wrong approach 59%
Mental Health
- Support independent inquiry 77%
- Oppose 16%