Archives: Maori

Ikaroa-Rawhiti Marae Digipoll October 2008

November 2, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 45.5%
  • Maori Party 39.2%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 3.1%
  • Green 3.9%

Candidate Support

  • Parekura Horomia, Labour 49.8%
  • Derek Fox, Maori Party 44.4%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 50.8%
  • Winston Peters 6.0%
  • Pita Sharples 9.1%
  • John Key 4.6%
  • Tariana Turia 4.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 64.0%
  • No 23.7%
  • Don’t Know 12.3%
Parekura Horomia Performance
  • Very Satisfied 19.4%
  • Satisfied 53.9%
  • Not Satisfied 18.5%
  • Don’t Know 8.3%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Parekura Horomia 30.1%
  • Pita Sharples 20.4%
  • Hone Harawira 3.7%
  • Tariana Turia 11.1%
  • Winston Peters 7.1%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 15.6%
  • Education 19.0%
  • Law & Order 8.3%
  • Health 12.9%
  • Family Issues 6.5%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 83.4% support, 12.1% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 20.8% support, 73.1% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 15.4%
  • Maori first 67.0%
  • Both 17.4%
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Te Tai Tonga Maori TV TNS Poll October 2008

November 1, 2008

Polling Company: TNS

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 500 (4.5% maximum margin of error) but 415 decided (4.9% margin of error)

Dates: 17 October to 24 October 2008

Client: Maori TV

Report: Maori TV

Party Support

  • Labour 45%
  • Maori Party 25%
  • National 17%
  • Green 7%
  • NZ First 6%

Note: 16% undecided

Electorate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 49%
  • Rahui Katene, Maori Party 39%
  • Dora Langsbury, Green 7%

Note 19% undecided

Preferred PM

  • Helen Clark 38%
  • Winston Peters 11%
  • John Key 9%
  • Pita Sharples 7%
  • Tariana Turia 4%
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Hauraki-Waikato Marae Digipoll October 2008

November 1, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Hauraki-Waikato voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 41.3%
  • Maori Party 41.0%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 6.4%
  • Green 4.5%

Candidate Support

  • Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 50.3%
  • Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 49.7%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.2%
  • Winston Peters 7.8%
  • Pita Sharples 8.6%
  • John Key 5.7%
  • Tariana Turia 4.9%
Country Direction
  • Right 52.0%
  • No 32.6%
  • Don’t Know 15.4%
Nanaia Mahuta Performance
  • Very Satisfied 16.3%
  • Satisfied 57.3%
  • Not Satisfied 17.0%
  • Don’t Know 9.5%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Nanaia Mahuta 21.0%
  • Pita Sharples 26.9%
  • Hone Harawira 6.9%
  • Tariana Turia 4.7%
  • Winston Peters 10.2%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 13.2%
  • Education 12.1%
  • Law & Order 11.9%
  • Health 10.8%
  • Family Issues 9.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.6% support, 14.0% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 24.3% support, 64.0% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 13.4%
  • Maori first 77.5%
  • Both 16.2%
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Te Tai Tonga Marae Digipoll October 2008

November 1, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 44.0%
  • Maori Party 29.5%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 10.9%
  • Green 8.5%

Candidate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 40.4%
  • Rahui Reid Katene, Maori Party 46.1%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.9%
  • Winston Peters 7.5%
  • Pita Sharples 6.9%
  • John Key 7.0%
  • Tariana Turia 1.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 56.1%
  • No 26.6%
  • Don’t Know 17.3%
Mahara Okeroa Performance
  • Very Satisfied 8.4%
  • Satisfied 47.9%
  • Not Satisfied 19.7%
  • Don’t Know 24.0%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 23.7%
  • Hone Harawira 5.9%
  • Tariana Turia 10.5%
  • Winston Peters 10.3%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 11.7%
  • Education 15.4%
  • Law & Order 5.8%
  • Health 11.3%
  • Family Issues 5.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 79.8% support, 16.5% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 29.8% support, 65.3% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 21.4%
  • Maori first 63.0%
  • Both 14.8%
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Waiariki Marae-Digipoll October 2008

October 20, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 33.8%
  • Maori Party 48.9%
  • NZ First 6.3%
  • National 6.3%
  • Green 1.4%

Candidate Support

  • Mita Ririnui, Labour 22.2%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell, Maori Party 72.8%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 48.2%
  • Winston Peters 5.2%
  • Pita Sharples 3.5%
  • John Key 6.1%
  • Tariana Turia 7.6%
Country Direction
  • Right 46.9%
  • No 35.3%
  • Don’t Know 17.8%
Te Ururoa Flavell Performance
  • Very Satisfied 28.3%
  • Satisfied 56.3%
  • Not Satisfied 5.4%
  • Don’t Know 9.8%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Te Ururoa Flavell 27.9%
  • Pita Sharples 20.1%
  • Hone Harawira 5.6%
  • Tariana Turia 6.8%
  • Winston Peters 7.3%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 21.7%
  • Education 14.7%
  • Law & Order 7.2%
  • Health 10.4%
  • Family Issues 6.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 74.3% support, 19.4% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 24.2% support, 65.8% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 10.5%
  • Maori first 73.0%
  • Both 16.2%
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Te Tai Hauauru Marae-Digipoll October 2008

October 20, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Hauauru voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 42.5%
  • Maori Party 44.0%
  • NZ First 1.9%
  • National 7.7%
  • Green 2.1%

Candidate Support

  • Errol Mason, Labour 15.1%
  • Tariana Turia, Maori Party 77.7%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 46.8%
  • Tariana Turia 10.5%
  • Pita Sharples 8.5%
  • John Key 6.1%
  • Winston Peters 3.7%
Country Direction
  • Right 50.9%
  • No 32.8%
  • Don’t Know 16.2%
Tariana Turia Performance
  • Very Satisfied 29.7%
  • Satisfied 50.8%
  • Not Satisfied 8.1%
  • Don’t Know 11.3%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Tariana Turia 26.8%
  • Pita Sharples 23.2%
  • Hone Harawira 6.8%
  • Winston Peters 5.7%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 16.9%
  • Health 13.0%
  • Family Issues 11.2%
  • Education 9.5%
  • Law & Order 6.6%
  • Unemployment 5.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.4% support, 15.0% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 28.7% support, 60.4% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 9.0%
  • Maori first 72.8%
  • Both 17.7%
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Te Tai Tokerau Marae Digipoll October 2008

October 12, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Tokerau voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 September to 7 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 34.5%
  • Maori Party 46.8%
  • NZ First 5.6%
  • National 6.4%
  • Green 2.5%

Candidate Support

  • Kelvin Davis, Labour 25.8%
  • Hone Harawira, Maori Party 69.0%
  • Greens 3.4%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 41.4%
  • Winston Peters 9.9%
  • Pita Sharples 5.5%
  • John Key 4.7%
  • Tariana Turia 5.7%
Country Direction
  • Right 49.3%
  • No 36.8%
  • Don’t Know 13.8%
Hone Harawira Performance
  • Very Satisfied 28.0%
  • Satisfied 50.1%
  • Not Satisfied 14.3%
  • Don’t Know 7.6%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 15.2%
  • Hone Harawira 31.2%
  • Tariana Turia 7.4%
  • Winston Peters 6.3%
  • Shane Jones 5.6%
  • Parekura Horomia 1.8%
  • Dover Samuels 1.4%
  • Nanaia Mahuta 1.2%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell 1.2%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 19.3%
  • Education 13.5%
  • Law & Order 5.9%
  • Health 11.2%
  • Family Issues 6.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 70.9% support, 17.3% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 25.4% support, 60.3% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 10.5%
  • Maori first 76.3%
  • Both 12.4%
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Tamaki Makaurau Marae Digipoll October 2008

October 12, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Tamaki Makaurau voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 September to 7 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 37.5%
  • Maori Party 41.2%
  • NZ First 7.3%
  • National 5.9%
  • Green 4.0%

Candidate Support

  • Louisa Wall, Labour 13.5%
  • Pita Sharples, Maori Party 77.4%
  • Mikaere Curtis, Greens 6.5%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 39.0%
  • Winston Peters 10.2%
  • Pita Sharples 7.2%
  • John Key 6.7%
  • Tariana Turia 5.9%
Country Direction
  • Right 46.5%
  • No 39.7%
  • Don’t Know 13.8%
Pita Sharples Performance
  • Very Satisfied 26.2%
  • Satisfied 54.1%
  • Not Satisfied 9.4%
  • Don’t Know 10.4%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 32.8%
  • Hone Harawira 12.1%
  • Tariana Turia 9.0%
  • Winston Peters 7.0%
  • Parekura Horomia 4.6%
  • Shane Jones 2.8%
  • Tau Henare 1.6%
  • Dover Samuels 1.5%
  • Nanaia Mahuta 1.2%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell 1.0%
  • Georgina te Heuheu 1.0%
Most important issue
  • Education 16.8%
  • Law & Order 15.1%
  • Maori/Treaty 11.7%
  • Health 9.5%
  • Family Issues 8.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 71.3% support, 20.6% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 27.7% support, 63.8% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 15.4%
  • Maori first 72.2%
  • Both 11.8%
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Maori Voters Poll

October 7, 2008

Polling Company: TNS

Poll Method: Random Phone of Maori voters on general and Maori rolls (exact mix unknown)

Poll Size: 420 total voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 18 September to 28 September 2008

Client: Maori TV

Report: Not online yet

Party Support

  • National 15.0%
  • Labour 52.0%
  • Green 5.0%
  • NZ First 5.0%
  • Maori 20.0%
  • United Future <1%
  • ACT <1%
  • Progressive
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 38%
  • John Key 10%
  • Winston Peters 10%
  • Pita Sharples 4%
  • Tariana Turia 3%
Performance
  • Clark performing well or very well – 70%
  • Key performing well or very well – 36%
Coalitions
  • 53% think National would choose Maori Party over ACT, Greens or NZ First
  • 69% thought Key would do a deal with NZ First if he had no other choices available
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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