Archives: Jacinda Ardern

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 861 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates:  7 to 11 April 2018

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (+1%)
  • Labour 43.0% (-5%)
  • Green 6.0% (+1%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.4%)
  • Maori 1.2% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.2%)
  • Opportunities 0.4% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 52
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 = 55/121 – six fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 52 + Greens 8 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6= 6/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power

Preferred PM

  • Simon Bridges 10.0% (+9%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 37% (-4%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (+1%)
 Economic Outlook
  • Better 37% (nc)
  • Same 29% (-1%)
  • Worse 34 (+1%)

PM’s management of recent events

  • Good 35%
  • Okay 50%
  • Bad 11%

Impact of parenthood on PM’s performance

  • Better 15%
  • Worse 18%
  • No difference 59%

Value in NZ remaining in the Commonwealth

  • Yes 80%
  • No 12%

Top priorities for Budget spending

  • Health 22%
  • Education 13%
  • Housing 10%
  • Public health 8%
  • Roads 7%
  • Poverty 6%
  • Mental Health 4%

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  18 to 28 January 2018

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 42.3% (+5.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (-3.3%)
  • Maori 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • Opportunities 1.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 55
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0  = 0/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-8.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 38.0% (+8.3%)

Leader Ratings

  • Bill English – 53.3% well and 24.2% poor = +28.9%
  • Jacinda Ardern – 70.9% well and 9.3% poor = +61.6%

PM’s pregnancy

  • positively affect her performance 34%
  • negatively 20%
  • No impact 39%
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