Archives: Iraq

Herald DigiPoll December 2015

December 15, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 04 to 14 December 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.3% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.1% (+0.1%)
  • Green 8.2% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.7% (-1.2%)
  • Maori 2.1% (+1.9%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 10 = 47/121 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 65.2% (+1.5%)
  • Andrew Little 16.2% (+2.9%)
  • Winston Peters 7.9% (-3.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.8% (-1.1%)

TPP

  • 27% support (+5%)
  • 26% oppose (-6%)
  • 46% no view (nc)

Iraq

  • Support deployment 63% (+4%)
  • Oppose deployment 30% (-4%)

Obesity

  • 53% say school tuck shops should ban unhealthy food
  • 44% disagree

US Ship Visits

  • 50% say a US visit would be positive
  • 29% don’t want a visit
  • 16% say a visit would be a triumph for NZ nuclear free policy
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NZ Herald DigiPoll August 2015

August 26, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subscriber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 660 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 14 August to 24 August 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.8% (-0.2%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+2.3%)
  • Green 9.2% (-1.6%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.6% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 38
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/122

On this poll National would be able to govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 63.7% (-0.9%)
  • Andrew Little 13.3% (-0.6%)
  • Winston Peters 11.6% (-0.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 3.9% (+3.4%)

Country Direction

  • Right 50.9% (-4.4%)
  • Wrong 40.9% (+4.9%)

Next National Leader

  • Bill English 30.3%
  • Steven Joyce 14.2%
  • Paula Bennett 11.4%
  • Simon Bridges 7.2%

Next Labour Leader

  • Annette King 21.8%
  • Jacinda Ardern 20.1%
  • Grant Robertson 18.0%
  • Phil Twyford 4.0%

Private Prisons

  • 57% say prisons should always be run by the state
  • 38% say there is a place for well-run private companies operating prisons.

Foreign House Buyers

  • 32% support a ban on foreigners buying houses
  • 20% oppose a ban
  • 42% would support a ban if there is evidence foreign buyers are pushing prices up

NZ Flag

  • 53% against change in principle
  • 23% support change in principle
  • 24% depends on alternative designs

TPP

  • 30% oppose TPP
  • 20% support TPP
  • 45% not know enough to have a view

Iraq

  • 59% support the deployment of troops to do training (+2%)
  • 34% oppose
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NZ Herald DigiPoll April 2015

April 29, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 662 have a party preference

Undecideds: 11.8%

Dates: 17 April to 26 April 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 28.7% (-0.2%)
  • Green 10.8% (+1.3%)
  • NZ First 6.1% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-1.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 35
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 64.6% (-0.4%)
  • Andrew Little 13.9% (+0.3%)
  • Winston Peters 12.0% (+6.1%)

Ports of Auckland

  • 46% of Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 50% are opposed
  • 45% of non Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 45% are opposed

NZ Flag

  • Time for a new flag yes 25%
  • Time for a new flag no 70%

Surplus

  • 37% say not achieving surplus by 2014/15 does not matter
  • 29% says not achieving surplus seriously dents National’s credibility
  • 29% says not achieving surplus matters but not much if only delayed a year

Auckland Mayoralty (asked of all NZers, not just Aucklanders)

  • Phil Goff 27%
  • John Campbell 21%
  • Len Brown 8%
  • John Banks 7%
  • Maurice Williamson 5%
  • Penny Hulse 5%
  • Cameron Brewer 3%
  • Don’t Know 25%

Iraq

  • 57% agree with decision to deploy troops
  • 34% disagree

Intelligence Agencies

  • 33% say they always work within the law
  • 30% say did not have confidence in them in the past but now more confident they act properly
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Q+A poll on Iraq

April 26, 2015

One News reports:

A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.

  • 49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.

  • 30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.

  • 9% said it is for some other reason.

  • 11% don’t know.

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One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2015

February 23, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+3.9%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
  • Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 41% (-2.0%)
  • Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
  • Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)

Islamic State

  • 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
  • 42% opposed

Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising

  • 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
  • 45% opposed
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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