3 News Reid Research Poll November 2013
November 10, 2013
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom approx 857 have a voting preference
Undecideds: 14.3%
Dates: approx 03 to 07 November 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3NewsPoll november 2013
Party Support
- National 46.3% (-3.2%)
- Labour 32.2% (+1.2%)
- Green 10.4% (-1.6%)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
- Maori 1.2% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
- NZ First 4.2% (+0.3%)
- Conservative 2.8% (+1.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 42
- Green 14
- ACT 0
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on ACT losing Epsom and the Maori Party losing one seat.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 2 = 58/121 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 2 = 2/122
On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 40.9% (-1.1%)
- Cunliffe 10.8% (-1.3% from Shearer)
- Peters 7.5% (+0.5%)
- Norman 2.2% (+0.5%)
Leader Ratings
- John Key – 58% well (+6%) and 28% poor (-4%) = 30% net positive (+10%)
- David Cunliffe – 42% well (+16% from Shearer) and 25% poor (-19%) = 18% net positive (+35%)
KiwiAssure
- 42% support a state insurer
- 49% oppose it
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