Archives: house prices

The Property Institute released:

“The number of people predicting an increase in property prices over the next six months is up 5% to 55% since March. Those expecting prices to decrease has dropped 5% from 12% to just 7%”.

“This means that expectations have rebounded to figures that closely match our November poll (56% increase & 8% decrease) – except in Auckland where there has been a big slump in expectations. Back in November 58% of Aucklanders were expecting house prices to rise – but last month that figure was down 12% to 46%, unchanged from our March poll”.

The Herald reports:

Half of all surveyed in the Property Institute’s February poll expressed an expectation prices would continue to go up in the next six months, with Wellingtonians and those aged 18 – 30 most likely to expect it to do so.

Of the 1006 people in the phone survey, 12 per cent thought the prices would drop, compared to 34 per cent who thought prices would go unchanged.

The poll also found the public ranked foreign investment as a strong influence in the market – on average 6.7/10, compared to 6.1/10 for tradespeople and developers and 6/10 for local investors.

Property Institute Chief executive Ashley Church said there had been a noticeable shift in public expectation since the last poll.

“Back in November 56 per cent of people thought property prices would keep rising in the next six months.

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,013 voters of whom 845 have a party preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 03 September to 09 September 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 48.0% (nc)
• Labour 26.0% (-3%)
• Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 11.0% (+2.0%)
• Maori 1.8% (+1.1%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.3% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 31
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 13
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 31 + Greens 15 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 13 + Maori 2 = 15/122

On this poll National (plus ACT and United) could govern with the Maori Party.  Labour could govern with Greens, NZ First and Maori Party. The Maori Party would hold the effective balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 38.0% (-1%)
• Andrew Little 10% (+3%)
• Winston Peters 11% (-1%)
• Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)

Economy

• Better 45% (+3%)
• Worse 31% (-5%)

Immigration

• Fewer migrants 38% (+11% from April)
• Current numbers rights 44% (-7%)
• More migrants 13% (-5%)

Housing

• 53% say Government should take more action even if it reduces house values
• 31% say more should be done but only if house values do not shrink
• 11% say no more action needed

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: May 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 47.0% (+0.3%)
• Labour 31.3% (-1.0%)
• Green 11.1% (+0.9%)
• NZ First 7.8% (+0.3%)
• Maori 1.0% (-0.3%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.0% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 38
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 36.7% (-1.6%)
• Andrew Little 8.9% (-1.5%)
• Winston Peters 12.1% (+2.8%)
• Jacinda Ardern 2.6% (-1.6%)

Housing

• 20% think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
• 76% do not
• 61% think foreign buyers are driving up house prices

US Ships

• 75% support a visit by a US Navy ship
• 20% opposed

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subscriber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 660 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 14 August to 24 August 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 50.8% (-0.2%)
• Labour 31.0% (+2.3%)
• Green 9.2% (-1.6%)
• NZ First 6.9% (+0.8%)
• Maori 0.2% (-0.6%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.2% (-0.6%)
• Mana/Internet 0.2% (+0.2%)
• Conservative 0.6% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 38
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/122

On this poll National would be able to govern alone.

Preferred PM

• John Key 63.7% (-0.9%)
• Andrew Little 13.3% (-0.6%)
• Winston Peters 11.6% (-0.4%)
• Jacinda Ardern 3.9% (+3.4%)

Country Direction

• Right 50.9% (-4.4%)
• Wrong 40.9% (+4.9%)

Next National Leader

• Bill English 30.3%
• Steven Joyce 14.2%
• Paula Bennett 11.4%
• Simon Bridges 7.2%

Next Labour Leader

• Annette King 21.8%
• Jacinda Ardern 20.1%
• Grant Robertson 18.0%
• Phil Twyford 4.0%

Private Prisons

• 57% say prisons should always be run by the state
• 38% say there is a place for well-run private companies operating prisons.

Foreign House Buyers

• 32% support a ban on foreigners buying houses
• 20% oppose a ban
• 42% would support a ban if there is evidence foreign buyers are pushing prices up

NZ Flag

• 53% against change in principle
• 23% support change in principle
• 24% depends on alternative designs

TPP

• 30% oppose TPP
• 20% support TPP
• 45% not know enough to have a view

Iraq

• 59% support the deployment of troops to do training (+2%)
• 34% oppose

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 15 to 22 July 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 47.0% (+0.6%)
• Labour 31.1% (+0.7%)
• Green 11.4% (+0.3%)
• NZ First 8.4% (+0.3%)
• Maori 0.6% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.7% (-1.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 37
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 38.3% (-1.1%)
• Andrew Little 10.2% (-1.4%)
• Winston Peters 11.3% (+0.1%)

Foreign buyers

• 61% support banning foreign buyers from buying houses
• 35% oppose
• 4% don’t know

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 21 to 27 May 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 46.4% (-3.4%)
• Labour 30.4% (+1.3%)
• Green 11.1% (+1.8%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.1%)
• Maori 1.1%  (-0.2%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.6%)
• NZ First 8.1% (+1.3%)
• Conservative 1.9% (-0.8%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 37
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 39.4% (-4.6%)
• Andrew Little 11.6% (+1.8%)
• Winston Peters 11.2% (+3.6%)

John Key

• Went too far with ponytail pulling 52%
• Was just horsing about 42%

House Affordability

• 33% says Government is doing enough to keep prices under control
• 60% say not enough

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 of whom xxx have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 10 August 2013 to 15 August 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 48.3% (-1.1%)
• Labour 31.6% (-0.3%)
• Green 12.3% (+1.1%)
• NZ First 2.8% (-0.4%)
• Maori 1.0% (-0.6%)
• United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
• ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
• Mana 0.5% (+0.4%)
• Conservative 1.4% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/120 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/120

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (-1.2%)
• Wrong 42.0% (+1.6%)

GCSB

• 75% at least partly worried about GCSB law
• 30% very concerned
• 54% trust Government to protect their privacy while maintaining national security
• $0% do not

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006 respondents of whom 862 had a voting preference

Undecideds: Dates: estimate 27 July to 31 July 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 46.0% (-3.0%)
• Labour 33.0% (nc)
• Green 14.0% (+5.0%)
• ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
• United Future 0.2%(-0.5%)
• Mana 0.2% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 3.3% (-0.3%)
• Conservative 0.6% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 42
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122

The Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• John Key 41% (-1.0%)
• David Shearer 13% (+1.0%)
• Winston Peters 4% (nc)

Next National Leader

• Bill English 23%
• Steven Joyce 16%
• Judith Collins 11%
• Someone else 5%
• Don’t know 45%

Economic Outlook

• Better 52% (-3%)
• Worse 28% (+2%)
• Same 20% (+1%)

Meridian share float

• 14% likely to buy shares
• 86% unlikely

GST on international purchases

• 36% support GST on online purchases of under $400
• 59% oppose

Foreign property buyers

• 62% support foreigners being unable to buy
• 32% opposed