Fairfax Ipsos poll August 2014
August 15, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1007 respondents of whom 854 have a party preference
Undecideds: 15.4%
Dates:Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 55.1% (+0.3%)
- Labour 22.5% (-2.4%)
- Green 11.3% (-1.1%)
- NZ First 3.4% (+0.8%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Mana 2.1% (+0.9%)
- Conservative 3.4% (+2.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 72
- Labour 29
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 3
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats. Coalition Options
- CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 11 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 29 + Greens 15 + Mana 3 = 47/124 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/124
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Preferred PM
- John Key 59.5% (+1.3%)
- David Cunliffe 14.1% (-0.1%)
Country Direction
- Right 65.4% (+1.3%)
- Wrong 33.5% (-0.6%)
Foreign Ownership
- 74% say should be harder for foreign investors to buy large farmland
- 24% disagree
- 53% say too much farmland has been sold
- 41% disagree
- 64% say NZ benefits from more foreign investment
- 31% disagree
Political Donations
- Reveal identity of all donors to political parties 68% agree
- 31% disagree
Government Approval
- 6.0/10 (no change
Time for change of Government
- Yes 40% (-1%)
- No 50% (-1%)
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