One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2013
August 5, 2013
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006 respondents of whom 862 had a voting preference
Undecideds: Dates: estimate 27 July to 31 July 2013
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (nc)
- Green 14.0% (+5.0%)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.2%(-0.5%)
- Mana 0.2% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.3% (-0.3%)
- Conservative 0.6% (-1.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 42
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122
The Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 41% (-1.0%)
- David Shearer 13% (+1.0%)
- Winston Peters 4% (nc)
Next National Leader
- Bill English 23%
- Steven Joyce 16%
- Judith Collins 11%
- Someone else 5%
- Don’t know 45%
Economic Outlook
- Better 52% (-3%)
- Worse 28% (+2%)
- Same 20% (+1%)
Meridian share float
- 14% likely to buy shares
- 86% unlikely
GST on international purchases
- 36% support GST on online purchases of under $400
- 59% oppose
Foreign property buyers
- 62% support foreigners being unable to buy
- 32% opposed
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