Archives: Electorate Polls

Hamilton Poll

October 16, 2011

A Versus Research poll of 413 Hamilton residents for the Waikato Times found:

Hamilton East

  • David Bennett, National – 51.2%
  • Sehai Orgad, Labour – 19.5%
  • Don’t Know 22.4%

Hamilton West

  • Tim Macindoe, National, 41.8%
  • Sue Moroney, Labour – 31.3%
  • Don’t Know 31.3%

Epsom Poll October 2011

October 10, 2011

The Herald on Sunday publishes results of a poll of 500 Epsom voters by Key Research,

Party Vote

  • National 67.6%
  • Labour 9.7%
  • ACT 5.7%
  • Greens 5.3%

Electorate Vote

  • National 32.9%
  • ACT 18.9%
  • Labour 4.3%
  • Greens 1.0%
  • Undecided 41.5%

The Taranaki Daily News reports a poll for New Plymouth:

  • 462 responses out of 820 people polled
  • Electorate Vote: Jonathan Young 41.6%, Andrew Little 25.3%, Neither 13.6%, Not Sure 19.5%
  • Party Vote: National 46.1%,Labour 16.5%, Greens 5.6%

Polling Company: Baseline

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 508, of whom 439 have a party preference

Dates: 2 June to 9 June 2011

Client: Native Affairs, Maori TV

Report: Not online

By-Election Vote

  • Harawira, Mana – 41%
  • Davis, Labour – 40%
  • Tipene, Maori – 15%

Party Support

  • National 10%
  • Labour 36%
  • Green 6.%
  • ACT 0%
  • Maori 25%
  • NZ First 2%
  • Mana 21%

Coalition Partner (for those who chose Maori or Mana)

  • National 28%
  • Labour 57%

Desired Relationship of Electorate MP to main governing party

  • Work alongside 73%
  • Work separate to 16%

Was by-election justified?

  • Yes 445
  • No 56%

Candidate Impressions

  • Can be trusted – Davis 50% Harawira 38%
  • Deliver on promises – Davis 35% Harawira 38%
  • Knows local needs – Davis 43% Harawira 57%
  • Politically experienced – Davis 39% Harawira 54%
  • Capable leader – Davis 44% Harawira 43%
  • Good in a crisis – Davis 43% Harawira 37%
  • Lots of personality – Davis 26% Harawira 66%

One News had a Colmar Brunton poll in Mt Albert. The poll of 500 people has a margin of error of 4.4%.

Electorate Vote

  • David Shearer, Labour 59% (59% in 2008)
  • Melissa Lee, National 21% (29%)
  • Russel Norman, Greens 15% (6%)
  • John Boscawen, ACT 3% (4%)

Party Vote

  • Labour 48% (43%)
  • National 37% (36%)

One News reports a special poll done in Tauranga in late October. Findings are:

Electorate Vote

  • Simon Bridges, National 54% (+6%)
  • Winston Peters, NZ FirstĀ  28% (nc)
  • Larry Baldock, Kiwi Party 7% (+3%)
  • Anne Pankhurst, Labour 5% (-10%)

They also reported that on the party vote, NZ First was at only 6%, half the 13% they got in the 2005 election

The Manawatu Standard has published a poll done by Versus Research in Palmerston North.

Their findings are:

  • Party Vote – National 36% to Labour 33%
  • Electorate Vote – Malcolm Plimmer (National) 37% to Iain Lees-Galloway (Labour) 34%

Nelson Poll

November 2, 2008

The Nelson Mail has done a poll of 500 voters in the Nelson electorate.

Party Vote

  • National, 40.4%
  • Labour 43.3%
  • Greens 10.1%
  • NZ First 2.6%
  • United Future 1.0%
  • Maori Party 1.0%

Electorate Vote

  • Nick Smith, National 65.8%
  • Maryan Street, Labour 29.8%
  • Diana Mellor, Greens 4.2%

The Nelson Mail has done a poll of 500 people in West Coast Tasman.

Party Vote

  • National 44.7%
  • Labour 33.9%
  • Green 13.7%
  • NZ First 4.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Damien O’Connor, Labour – 48.9%
  • Chris Auchinvole, National – 45.4%
  • Kevin Hague, Greens – 3.8%

Hamilton East and West polls

September 1, 2008

The Waikato Times and Versus Research have done polls in Hamilton East and Hamilton West.

Their online report does not specify the sample size or dates of the polls apart from “Monday and Tuesday evenings”.

Hamilton West Electorate Vote

  • Tim Macindoe (Nat) 37%
  • Martin Gallagher (Lab) 35%
  • Don’t Know 24%

Hamilton East Electorate Vote

  • David Bennett (Nat) 61%
  • Sue Moroney (Lab) 14%
  • Don’t Know 14%

Hamilton Party Vote

  • National 49%
  • Labour 25%
  • National 58% PV in Ham East and 40% in Ham West
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