Fairfax Research International Poll October 2011
November 2, 2011
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Dates: 27 to 31 October 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 52.6% (-1.7%)
- Labour 31.3% (+3.2%)
- Green 9.7% (-0.4%)
- ACT 1.2% (-0.3%)
- Maori 1.2% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.3%)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.9%)
- NZ First 1.5% (-0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 39
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 52/124 -10 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 52.8% (+1.8%)
- Phil Goff 9.1% (+2.2%)
- Winston Peters 3.0% (+0.2%)
Christchurch Earthquake Recover
- 48% of Canterbury residents say decision making is too slow
- 55% say they have had ample opportunity to contribute to CBD planning process
- 60% say speed of demolition and rebuild of CBD has been as fast as expected
Govt handling of economy
- 50.6% good
- 30% not so sure
- 15.7% poor
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