Fairfax Ipsos poll late August 2014
August 29, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1000 respondents of whom 825 have a party preference
Undecideds: 17.5%
Dates: 21 to 27 August 2014
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 50.8% (-4.3%)
- Labour 26.1% (+3.6%)
- Green 11.8% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 4.0% (+0.6%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.5%)
- Mana 2.2% (+0.1%)
- Conservative 2.7% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 34
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 3
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + Mana 3 = 52/123 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Preferred PM
- John Key 55.0% (-4.5%)
- David Cunliffe 17.9% (+3.8%)
Dirty Politics
- 30% say all parties do it
- 28% say National worst
- 17% Internet-Mana
- 17% Labour
- 47% say book damages John Key, 43% disagree
- 8% say it has led them to change their vote
- 55% say all politicians play “dirty”
Leave a comment