Fairfax Ipsos poll August 2013
August 24, 2013
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 of whom xxx have a party preference
Undecideds: 17.2%
Dates: 10 August 2013 to 15 August 2013
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 48.3% (-1.1%)
- Labour 31.6% (-0.3%)
- Green 12.3% (+1.1%)
- NZ First 2.8% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.4%)
- Conservative 1.4% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 39
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/120 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/120
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Country Direction
- Right 58.0% (-1.2%)
- Wrong 42.0% (+1.6%)
GCSB
- 75% at least partly worried about GCSB law
- 30% very concerned
- 54% trust Government to protect their privacy while maintaining national security
- $0% do not
- 21% say we are 80% to 100% pure
- Average pure rating is 65%
House Affordability
- 21% can afford an $88,000 deposit (20% of average house), 31% with family help, 48% can not
- 81% say having Govt offer low deposit loans to first time home buyers will be effective in tackling rising house prices
- 73% say having Govt build more affordable homes will be effective
- 68% say releasing more land for housing will be effective
- 49% say stopping non residents purchasing will be effective
- 37% say introducing a CGT will be effective
- 29% say forcing buyers to have bigger loan deposits will be effective
Leader Trust
- Fully believe John Key 24% yes and 59% no
- Fully believe David Shearer 33% yes and 43% no
Leave a comment