Archives: Country Direction

Roy Morgan Poll late July 2011

July 31, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 895, of whom 819 have a party preference

Undecideds: 8.5%

Dates: 11 July to 24 July 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
  • Green 7.5% (nc)
  • ACT 2.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 39
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/122 – 6 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 49/122 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 29.0% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (nc)
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Roy Morgan Poll early July 2011

July 21, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 895, of whom 819 have a party preference

Undecideds: 8.5%

Dates: 27 June to 10 July 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-5.0%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+3.0%)
  • Green 7.5% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 42
  • Green 9
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – 4 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 52/122 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.0% (+2.5%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (-2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (-0.5%)
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NZ Herald Digipoll June 2011

July 3, 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 22 to 28 June 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald and NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.2% (-3.2%)
  • Labour 36.1% (+2.4%)
  • Green 6.6% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 1.2% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.7% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.9% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 44
  • Green 8
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 53/124 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.6% (+2.9%)
  • Goff
  • Peters
  • Clark

Drinking Age

  • 58.6% want a 20/20 age for on and off-licenses
  • 25.7% want an 18 age for on-licenses and 20 for off-licenses
  • 14.5% want an 18/18 age for on and off-licenses
  • 80% support making it an offence to supply alcohol to an under 18 year old without the consent of their parents, with 18.5% against

Rugby World Cup

  • 59.2% say most important thing is visitors have a great time in NZ
  • 36.6% say most important thing is the All Blacks win
Welfare
  • 10% support sole parents on welfare having to seek work when youngest child is three
  • 32% support work testing at age five
  • 54% support work testing at age six
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Roy Morgan Poll late June 2011

July 3, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 916, of whom 838 have a party preference

Dates: 13 June to 26 June 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
  • Green 5.5% (-1.5%)
  • ACT 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 38
  • Green 7
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 7 + Mana 1 = 46/122 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 31.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 15.0% (nc)
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Roy Morgan poll early June 2011

June 21, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 897, of whom 816 have a party preference

Dates: 30 May to 12 June 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (-6.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 3.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 37
  • Green 9
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (+1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 15.0% (-2.0%)
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Roy Morgan Poll late May 2011

June 10, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 942, of whom 853 have a party preference

Dates: 16 May to 29 May 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 38.0% (+8.0%)
  • Green 6.5% (-3.5%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+0.5)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 45
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – 2 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 54/122 – 8 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-1.5%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (-2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.5%)
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Roy Morgan Poll early May 2011

May 29, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 858, of whom 794 have a party preference

Dates: 02 May to 15 May 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (+2.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 35
  • Green 12
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 8 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 48/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.5% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (-4.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (+1.5%)
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Roy Morgan Poll late September 2010

October 16, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 820, of whom 750 have a party preference

Dates: 20 September to 03 October 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (=1.0%)
  • Labour 36.5% (+2.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-2.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 45
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the exact minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 10 = 55/124 – 7 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 61.5% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 22.0% (-6.0%)
  • Can’t Say 16.5% (+2.5%)
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Roy Morgan Poll mid September 2010

September 27, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 895, of whom 846 have a party preference

Dates: 30 August to 12 September 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+1.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-1.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 43
  • Green 10
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 10 = 53/124 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-3.0%)
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Roy Morgan Poll late August 2010

September 9, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 893, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 16 August to 29 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 32.5% (-1.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 41
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 11 = 52/121 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.0%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
Embed | Methodology

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