3 News Reid Research Poll August 2011
September 5, 2011
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 13 August to 17 August 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-1.1%)
- Labour 28.8% (-1.1%)
- Green 9.3% (+0.2%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.2% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 9 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 48/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 53% (+2.5%)
- Goff 8% (+1.1%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 74.9% (+2.8%) doing well vs 14.5% (+0.6%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.4% (+2.2%)
- Goff – 26.1% (+1.8%) doing well vs 52.5% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -26.4% (-0.9%)
Policy Preference
- 53% prefer a capital gains tax while 31% preferred partial asset sales
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