3 News Reid Research Poll Jan 2015
February 2, 2015
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: 20 to 28 January 2015
Client: 3 News
Party Support
- National 49.8% (+4.3%)
- Labour 29.1% (+3.5%)
- Green 9.3% (-5.1%)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
- Maori 1.3% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
- Mana/Internet 0.6% (-1.4%)
- NZ First 6.9% (-0.2%)
- Conservative 2.7% (-2.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 36
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 12 = 48/122 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- John Key 44.0% (-0.1%)
- Andrew Little 9.8% (-2.5% from Cunliffe)
Andrew Little as Leader
- Better match for Key than predecessors 55%
- The same 12%
- Worse 18%
- Don’t Know 18%
Leader Ratings
- John Key – performing well 63%, performing badly 24%, net approval = +39%
- Andrew Little – performing well 45%, performing badly 17%, net approval = +28%
Whale Oil
- Key should stop texting Whale Oil 68%
- Key should continue texting 18%
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