One News Colmar Brunton Poll July 2011
July 21, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference
Dates: 9 to 13 July 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 53.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 27.0% (-7.0%)
- Green 10.0% (+4.0%)
- ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
- Maori 3.0% (+1.6%)
- United Future 0.3% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.4% (+0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 33
- Green 12
- ACT 4
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 46/121 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+1%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 3% (+15)
Economic Outlook
- Better 52% (+4%)
- Worse 28% (-5%)
- Same 20% (+1%)
Capital Gains Tax
- Support 43%
- Oppose 49%
- Don’t Know 9%
Raise tax rate to 39% for those over $120,000
- Support 42%
- Oppose 54%
- Don’t Know 5%
Most trusted party to manage economy
- National 53%
- Labour 24%
- Greens 2%
- ACT 1%
- Don’t Know 13%
Best Finance Minister
- Bill English 49%
- David Cunliffe 29%
- Don’t Know 23%
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