Archives: asset sales

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006 respondents of whom 862 had a voting preference

UndecidedsDates: estimate 27 July to 31 July 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (nc)
  • Green 14.0% (+5.0%)
  • ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.2%(-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.3% (-0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.6% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 42
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122

The Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 41% (-1.0%)
  • David Shearer 13% (+1.0%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (nc)

Next National Leader

  • Bill English 23%
  • Steven Joyce 16%
  • Judith Collins 11%
  • Someone else 5%
  • Don’t know 45%

Economic Outlook

  • Better 52% (-3%)
  • Worse 28% (+2%)
  • Same 20% (+1%)

Meridian share float

  • 14% likely to buy shares
  • 86% unlikely

GST on international purchases

  • 36% support GST on online purchases of under $400
  • 59% oppose

Foreign property buyers

  • 62% support foreigners being unable to buy
  • 32% opposed

 

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 respondents of whom 835 had a voting preference

Undecideds: Dates: 13 to 17 April 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (-6.0%)
  • Labour 36.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (nc)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-0.9%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (+0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 46
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/123 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 63/123 – one more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39% (-5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 3% (-2%)
Economic Outlook
  • Better 50% (+2%)
  • Same 19% (-3%)
  • Worse 31% (+1%)
 Partial Asset Sales
  • Support 29% (+1%)
  • Opposed 64% (nc)
  • Unsure 8% (+2%)
Paid Parental Leave
  • 62% support extension from 14 to 26 weeks
  • 34% opposed

Trust in Security Services

  • 32% do not trust
  • 32% trust
  • 33% in the middle

Relationship with China

  • 41% comfortable
  • 30% uncomfortable
  • 28% neutral

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: 750 respondents

Dates: 11 to 17 March 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 36.3% (+4.4%)
  • Green 9.0% (-1.7%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 58/124 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.0% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer 18.5% (+5.6%)
  • Peters 4.0%

Country Direction

  • Right 49.0% (+0.9%)
  • Wrong 43.0% (+0.3%)
Asset Sales
  • 52% opposed to sale of MRP, 32% in favour
  • 30% plan to buy shares in MRP

Term of Parliament

  • 51% 3 years
  • 48% 4 years

Marriage

  • Should remain between a man and a woman 48% (+8%)
  • Allow same-sex couples to marry 52% (-4%)

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,026 respondents of whom 875 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 9 to 13 February 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 57/121 -6 fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44% (+5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1%)
Decision to keep Hekia Parata as Minister of Education
  •  21% right decision
  • 59% wrong decision
  • 20% unsure

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+7%)
  • Same 22% (-2%)
  • Worse 30% (-4%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+6%)
  • Oppose 64% (-5%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Four Year Term

  • Support 56%
  • Oppose 40%
  • Unsure 5%

Make unemployed apply for jobs in Christchurch

  • Yes 39%
  • No 53%
  • Unsure 7%

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,005 of whom 878 had a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 28 July to 1 August 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 2.3% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.4% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 56/122 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45% (-3%)
  • David Shearer 13% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • 32% in favour
  • 62% against
  • 59% say they could afford to buy $1,000 of shares
  • 41% say they could not
  • 34% say they are very or quite likely to buy shares
  • 25% say not likely to buy shares and 40% not at all likely

Alcohol minimum price

  • 54% support a minimum price
  • 42% do not

Polling Company: Key Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 700, of whom 589 had a party preference

Undecideds: 15.9%

Dates: 20 to 22 June 2012

Client: Herald on Sunday

Report: Herald on Sunday and full results on Scribd

Party Support

  • National 47.9% (-8.5%)
  • Labour 30.4% (+6.2%)
  • Green 14.8% (+2.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Maori 1.7% (+1.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.2% (-0.4%)
  • Conservative 0.8% (-0.6%)

Note comparisons are to a pre-election poll, done eights months ago.

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 38
  • Green 19
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 19 + Mana 1= 58/122 -4 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45.9%
  • David Shearer 16.9%
  • Winston Peters 3.2%
Asset Sales
  • 25% support partial sales, 64% against
  • 60% would purchase shares if they had the money, 31% would not

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 13 August to 17 August 2011

Client: 3 News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 28.8% (-1.1%)
  • Green 9.3% (+0.2%)
  • ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 9 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 48/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 53% (+2.5%)
  • Goff 8% (+1.1%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 74.9% (+2.8%) doing well vs 14.5% (+0.6%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.4% (+2.2%)
  • Goff  – 26.1% (+1.8%) doing well vs 52.5% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -26.4% (-0.9%)

Policy Preference

  • 53% prefer a capital gains tax while 31% preferred partial asset sales

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.2%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 666 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 27 July 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 52.3% (+1.1%)
  • Labour 33.1% (-3.0%)
  • Green 8.3% (+1.7%)
  • NZ First 0.9% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.4% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.6% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/124 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 + Mana 1 = 52/124 -10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.3% (-0.3%)
  • Goff 9.3% (-2.6%)
  • Peters 2.9% (-2.5%)
  • Clark 7.9% (+3.8%)

Direction

  • Right 57.5%
  • Wrong 33.8%
  • Unsure 8.7%

Capital Gains Tax

  • Strongly favour 16.5%
  • Moderately favour 21.4%
  • No opinion 22.8%
  • Moderately against 16%
  • Strongly against 21.5%
  • More likely to vote Labour 22.1%
  • Less likely to vote Labour 14.4%
  • No difference 61.3%
Asset Sales
  • Strongly favour 7.2%
  • Moderately favour 19.8%
  • No opinion 15.5%
  • Moderately against 22.1%
  • Strongly against 34.5%
Debt Repayment Preferences
  • CGT 43.1%
  • Asset part-sales 34.4%
SAS in Afghanistan
  • Remain beyond March 2012 23.1%
  • Withdraw as scheduled 63.3%

Maori

  • Too much say 42.2%
  • Too little say 13.2%
  • About the right amount 39.8%
Women paid less because they are women
  • Yes 54.2%
  • No 36.4%

TV3 poll June 2010

June 20, 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 880 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 June to 15 June 2010

Client: TV3

Report: TV3

Party Support

  • National 55.3% (+3.2%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-3.3%)
  • Green 7.5% (-0.7%)
  • ACT 1.6% (nc)
  • Maori 1.9%  (nc)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 1.8% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 38
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 49.6% (+0.4%)
  • Clark 4.9% (+1.2%)
  • Goff 5.1% (-2.4%)
  • Peters ?

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 69.0% (+0.2%) doing well vs 15.9% (-0.5%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.1% (+0.7%)
  • Goff  – 27.2% (-6.9%) doing well vs 45.4% (+3.9%) doing poorly – net positive is -18.2% (-10.8%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • honest – Key by 20% (-6%)
  • down to earth – Key by 12% (-5%)
  • understands econ problems – Key by 23% (-2%)
  • has personality – Key by 46% (+4%)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 5% (-9%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • inexperienced – Key by 13% (-2%)
  • out of touch – Key by 4% (+1%)
Asset Sales
  • 85% say Govt should not sell Kiwibank, 9% say sell
  • 53.5% believe National will try and sell Kiwibank if they win a second term, 29.5% think they won’t
  • 80% say no the sale of any state assets, with only 12% supporting sale
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