Archives: alcohol

One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2015

February 23, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+3.9%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
  • Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 41% (-2.0%)
  • Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
  • Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)

Islamic State

  • 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
  • 42% opposed

Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising

  • 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
  • 45% opposed
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One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2012

August 5, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,005 of whom 878 had a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 28 July to 1 August 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 2.3% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.4% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 56/122 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45% (-3%)
  • David Shearer 13% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • 32% in favour
  • 62% against
  • 59% say they could afford to buy $1,000 of shares
  • 41% say they could not
  • 34% say they are very or quite likely to buy shares
  • 25% say not likely to buy shares and 40% not at all likely

Alcohol minimum price

  • 54% support a minimum price
  • 42% do not
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Alcohol polls

July 3, 2012

The Herald reports:

A Herald DigiPoll found that 56.5 percent of New Zealanders opposed a minimum price for alcohol, while 40.6 percent supported it.

Also the Herald reports:

Asked which purchase age they preferred in Parliament’s review of liquor laws, 54.4 per cent of respondents said 20 years old, and 25 per cent said 20 for off-licensed stores.

Just 19.4 per cent wanted the age kept at 18 for both on-licences (bars and restaurants) and off-licences (supermarkets and bottle stores).

 

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Liquor Sale Hours

September 9, 2010

Research NZ did a poll of 500 people from 4 to 12 August. Respondents were asked what is the latest time bars should be able to stay open until. Note they were not asked whether there should be a nationwide closing time at all:

  • 26% (cumulatively) said by midnight
  • 63% said by 2 am
  • 81% said by 4 am
  • 19% of under 34 year olds said midnight, compared to 42% of over 55s
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TV3 Reid Research Poll August 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 890 have a party preference, (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 06 August to 10 August 2010

Client: TV3

Report: TV3

Party Support

  • National 54.5% (-0.8%)
  • Labour 30.6% (+0.1%)
  • Green 9.5% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 2.2% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 1.5% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 12
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT  and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 48.7% (-0.9%)
  • Clark 2.3% (-2.6%)
  • Goff 7.4% (+2.3%)
  • Peters 3.7% (+0.9%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 69.9% (+0.9%) doing well vs 15.9% (nc) doing poorly – net positive is 54.0% (+0.9%)
  • Goff  – 30.9% (+3.7%) doing well vs 43.9% (-1.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -13.0% (+5.2%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • capable leader – Key by 44% (+6%)
  • good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+7%)
  • sound judgement – Key by 21% (nc)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+1%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • more style than substance – Key by 13% (-1%)
  • talk down to people – Goff by 2% (-8%)
  • narrow minded – Goff by 6% (-3%)
  • inflexible – Goff by 7% (+2%)

Land sales to foreigners

  • 76% say tighten rules
  • 14% say leave as it is
  • 8% say relax the rules
Drink Driving
  • 35% say keep at 80
  • 36% say reduce to 50
  • 28% say reduce to zero
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference

Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (nc)
  • Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (nc)
  • ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
    Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 9
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
  • 19% same (+1.0%)
  • 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 45% (-1.0%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
  • Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
  • 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
  • 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
  • 60% support extending to all employers
  • 36% opposed
Chris Carter
  • 58% say he should resign from Parliament
  • 33% say he should not

Phil Goff

  • 24% say he can win the next election
  • 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2010

May 30, 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 adults, 843 of whom had a party vote preference

Dates: 22 to 26 May 2010

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (nc)
  • Green 7.0% (+2.3%)
  • ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.6% (+1.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.3%)
    Progressive 0.5% (+0.3%)
  • NZ First 1.3% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 41
  • Green 9
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 9 = 50/121 -11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 56% economy over next 12 months will be better (-9.0%)
  • 18% same (+2.0%)
  • 26% worse (+7.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 46% (-2.0%)
  • Phil Goff 6% (-2%)
  • Helen Clark not yet known
2010 Budget
  • 37% say makes them better off, 53% say it does not
  • 61% say budget good for economy, 25% disagree
  • 50% say it was fair, and 41% disagree
Drinking Age
  • 74% want 20 and 24% 18
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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