TV3 poll June 2010
June 20, 2010
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 880 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 8 June to 15 June 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.3% (+3.2%)
- Labour 30.5% (-3.3%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.7%)
- ACT 1.6% (nc)
- Maori 1.9% (nc)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.4%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.8% (+0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.6% (+0.4%)
- Clark 4.9% (+1.2%)
- Goff 5.1% (-2.4%)
- Peters ?
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.0% (+0.2%) doing well vs 15.9% (-0.5%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.1% (+0.7%)
- Goff – 27.2% (-6.9%) doing well vs 45.4% (+3.9%) doing poorly – net positive is -18.2% (-10.8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 20% (-6%)
- down to earth – Key by 12% (-5%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 23% (-2%)
- has personality – Key by 46% (+4%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 5% (-9%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 13% (-2%)
- out of touch – Key by 4% (+1%)
Asset Sales
- 85% say Govt should not sell Kiwibank, 9% say sell
- 53.5% believe National will try and sell Kiwibank if they win a second term, 29.5% think they won’t
- 80% say no the sale of any state assets, with only 12% supporting sale
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