Archives: TV3

Newshub Reid Research poll early September 2017

September 12, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  6 to 11 September 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.3% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 37.8% (-1.6%)
  • Green 4.9% (-1.2%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 49
  • Green 0
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.1% (+3.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 31.7% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (nc)
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Newshub Reid Research poll late August 2017

September 3, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  approx 22 to 30 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 43.3% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 39.4% (+6.3%)
  • Green 6.1% (-2.2%)
  • NZ First 6.6% (-2.6%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (nc)
  • Mana
  • Opportunities 1.9% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 49
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 8 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 30.1% (+2.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (+3.6%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (-3.1%)
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Newshub Reid Research poll early August 2017

August 17, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  1 to 8 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 44.4% (-0.8%)
  • Labour 33.1% (+9.0%)
  • Green 8.3% (-4.7%)
  • NZ First 9.2% (-3.8%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • Opportunities 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 27.7% (+1.9%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 26.3% (+17.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.0% (-1.9%)

 

Leader Approval

  • Bill English – 51.3% (+0.7%) well and 23.2% (-1.0%) poorly for a net +28.1% (+1.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern – 51.6%(+22.0% from Little)) well and 13.3% (-32.8%) poorly for a net +38.3% (+52.8%)
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Newshub Reid Research poll July 2017

July 31, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  June 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.2% (-2.2%)
  • Labour 24.1% (-2.3%)
  • Green 13.0% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 13.0% (+3.6%)
  • Maori 1.2% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Opportunities 2.0% (+1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 30
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 16
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 30 + Greens 16 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 16 + Maori 1 = 17/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 25.8% (-0.4%)
  • Andrew Little 7.1% (+0.1%)
  • Winston Peters 11.9% (+2.2%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 8.7% (+2.1%)

Leader Approval

  • Bill English – 50.6% (-8.6%) well and 24.2% (+7.5%) poorly for a net +26.4% (-16.1%)
  • Andrew Little – 29.6% (-4.7%) well and 46.1% (+5.4%) poorly for a net -16.5% (-11.1%)
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Newshub Reid Research poll June 2017

June 15, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  June 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.4% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 26.4% (-4.4%)
  • Green 12.5% (+1.3%)
  • NZ First 9.4% (+1.8%)
  • Maori 0.7% (nc)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.9% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • Opportunities 0.8% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 33
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.2% (+1.2%)
  • Andrew Little 7.0% (-1.3%)
  • Winston Peters 9.7% (+0.8%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 6.6% (-3.9%)

Leader Approval

  • Andrew Little -6% (-5.5%)
  • Bill English +25% (-5%)

2017 Budget Family Incomes Package

  • Support 67%
  • Oppose 26%
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Newshub Reid Research poll March 2017

March 21, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  10 to 19 March 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.1% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 30.8% (-1.9%)
  • Green 11.2% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 7.6% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 0.7% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.4%)
  • Conservative 0.4% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.8%

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 25.0% (-11.7% from Key)
  • Andrew Little 8.3% (-2.2%)
  • Winston Peters 8.9% (-2.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 10.5%

Labour Leader

  • Andrew Little 46%
  • Jacinda Ardern 38%

Housing

  • Is Government doing enough to control housing market – yes 19%
  • No 19%

Immigration

  • 51% support a cut in immigration
  • 39% do not

Superannuation

  • 52% support increase in entitlement age to 67
  • 42% do not
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Newshub Reid Research poll August 2016

August 9, 2016

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 22 July to 3 August 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-1.9%)
  • Labour 32.7% (+1.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 10.5% (+1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.9% (-1.2%)

Housing

  • 22% (+2%) think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 75% (-1%)  do not
  • 56% support Labour’s Kiwibuild (100,000 new houses in 10 years) policy
  • 41% do not

Immigration

  • 60% think the Government should let fewer immigrants in
  • 37% do not
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3 News Reid Research poll November 2015

December 14, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 08 to 16 November 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.7% (-0.6%)
  • Labour 32.3% (-0.7%)
  • Green 10.2% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 7.5% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.7% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 2 = 11/122

On this poll National could form a CR government with either Maori Party or NZ First while Labour would need both the Maori Party and NZ First.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 38.3% (-1.2%)
  • Andrew Little 10.4% (-0.4%)
  • Winston Peters 9.3% (+0.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 4.2% (+0.7%)
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3 News Reid Research poll September 2015

September 23, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 08 to 16 September 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 47.3% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+1.9%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 7.9% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 40
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 12 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.5% (+1.2%)
  • Andrew Little 10.8% (+0.6%)
  • Winston Peters 8.6% (-2.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

NZ Flag

  • Change flag 25%
  • Keep flag 69%

Private Prisons

  • Govt only should run them 70%
  • 13% okay with Serco running them
  • 13% okay with private providers if not Serco

Labour Deputy Leadership

  • Jacinda Ardern 33%
  • Annette King 25%
  • Kelvin Davis 11%
  • Phil Twyford 3%
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3 News Reid Research Poll May 2015

June 3, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 21 to 27 May 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.4% (-3.4%)
  • Labour 30.4% (+1.3%)
  • Green 11.1% (+1.8%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.1%  (-0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+1.3%)
  • Conservative 1.9% (-0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 37
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.4% (-4.6%)
  • Andrew Little 11.6% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 11.2% (+3.6%)

John Key

  • Went too far with ponytail pulling 52%
  • Was just horsing about 42%

House Affordability

  • 33% says Government is doing enough to keep prices under control
  • 60% say not enough
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Earlier posts »

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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