Fairfax Ipsos poll 17 September 2014
September 19, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1001 respondents
Undecideds:
Dates: 02 September to 17 September 2014
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 47.7% (-5.1%)
- Labour 26.1% (+3.7%)
- Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 6.6% (+2.2%)
- Maori 0.9% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.4%)
- Mana 0.9% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 4.5% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 34
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 51/124 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/124
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53.6% (-3.9%)
- David Cunliffe 20.0% (+2.5%)
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