Archives: Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan poll early May 2013

May 20, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 849 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 29 April 2013 to 12 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-2.5%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+0.5%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
  • Mana 1.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.5% (+2.0%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (-3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.5%)
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Roy Morgan poll late April 2013

May 2, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 877 of whom 833 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 15 April 2013 to 28 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-4.0%)
  • Green 11.5% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.5% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 34.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)
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Roy Morgan poll early April 2013

April 19, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 879 of whom 830 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 April 2013 to 14 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 40.5% (-3.5%)
  • Labour 35.5% (+1.0%)
  • Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 43
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + United Future 1 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 67/120 – six more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 51.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 35.5% (+1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)
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Roy Morgan poll early March 2013

March 21, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.5% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
  • Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)
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Roy Morgan poll late February 2013

February 28, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,052 of whom 1,010 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 11 February 2013 to 24 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (+3.5%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-4%)
  • Green 12.5% (-1%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+2.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.0% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
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Roy Morgan poll early February 2013

February 17, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008 of whom 973 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 27 January 2013 to 10 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-2%)
  • Labour 34.5% (+3%)
  • Green 13.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 44
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 62/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+2.0%)
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Roy Morgan poll late January 2013

January 31, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.5% (nc)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 38
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

  • Right 57% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)
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Roy Morgan poll early January 2013

January 20, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (nc)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
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Roy Morgan poll December 2012

January 14, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 45.5% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)
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Roy Morgan poll late June 2012

July 1, 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057, of whom 1,020 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 08 June 2012 to 24 June 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (+1.5%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 41
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four less than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 52.0% (+4.0%)
  • Wrong 34.5% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
Embed | Methodology

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