Archives: Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan poll early October 2013

October 28, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 839 of whom 801 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 30 September 2013 to 13 October 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 41.5% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 37.0% (nc)
  • Green 12.5% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 44
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 + Maori 3 = 9/122

On this poll NZ First could form a CL Government or NZ First and Maori Party could form a CR Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-4.0%)
  • Wrong 31.0% (+1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (+2.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll late September 2013

October 27, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 934 of whom 887 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 16 September 2013 to 29 September 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 42.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 37.0% (+4.5%)
  • Green 11.5% (-3.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-2.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 47
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 47 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 63/122 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll Labour could form a CL Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 59.0% (+6.5%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (-6.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll early September 2013

September 22, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 828 of whom 778 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 26 August 2013 to 08 September 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+1.0%)
  • Green 15.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 5040
  • Labour 40
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/122

On this poll NZ First could form a CL Government or NZ First and Maori Party could form a CR Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 52.5% (-5.5%)
  • Wrong 35.5% (+5.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll late August 2013

September 3, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 819 of whom 778 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 12 August 2013 to 25 August 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.5% (-2.5%)
  • Green 14.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+2.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 38
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/121

On this poll there NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (nc)
  • Wrong 30.5% (+0.5)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll early August 2013

August 20, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 919 of whom 878 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 29 July 2013 to 11 August 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-7.0%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+5.0%)
  • Green 14.0% (+4.0%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 42
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121

On this poll there would be a centre-left government.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (-0.5%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll late July 2013

August 1, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 824 of whom 791 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 15 July 2013 to 28 July 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll there would be a centre-right government.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll early July 2013

July 22, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 956 of whom 918 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 01 July 2013 to 14 July 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.0% (-0.5%)
  • Green 11.5% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.5% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll there would be a centre-right government.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (-2.5%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (+1.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll late June 2013

July 2, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 971 of whom 913 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 17 June 2013 to 30 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-1.5%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 3.5% (-2.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 57.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 32.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-1.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll early June 2013

June 21, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 909 of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 03 June 2013 to 16 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.0% (-1.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (+1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll late May 2013

May 30, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057 of whom 1,004 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 13 May 2013 to 26 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 46
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + United Future 1 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.5% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)
Leave a comment
« Later posts
Earlier posts »

Curia's blog specialises in polls and polling, with a mainly New Zealand focus. More

Never miss a poll: Subscribe via email

Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
Embed | Methodology

Explore the Archives

By date

By company

By issue

Get our paywalled newsletter on polling insights Subscribe

Get Curia's blog posts
via email