Roy Morgan Poll early January 2010
February 1, 2010
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,758 (2.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 04 January to 17 January 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.5%)
- Green 8.0% (-1.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (-1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 48/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 68.5% (+6.0%)
- Wrong 21.0% (-4.0%)
- Can’t Say 10.5% (-2.0%)
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