Archives: Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan Poll early May 2011

May 29, 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 858, of whom 794 have a party preference

Dates: 02 May to 15 May 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (+2.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 35
  • Green 12
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 8 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 48/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 56.5% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (-4.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (+1.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll late September 2010

October 16, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 820, of whom 750 have a party preference

Dates: 20 September to 03 October 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (=1.0%)
  • Labour 36.5% (+2.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-2.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 45
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the exact minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 10 = 55/124 – 7 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 61.5% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 22.0% (-6.0%)
  • Can’t Say 16.5% (+2.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll mid September 2010

September 27, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 895, of whom 846 have a party preference

Dates: 30 August to 12 September 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+1.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-1.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 43
  • Green 10
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 10 = 53/124 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-3.0%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll late August 2010

September 9, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 893, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 16 August to 29 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 32.5% (-1.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 41
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 11 = 52/121 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.0%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll mid August 2010

September 9, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 898, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 02 August to 15 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 33.5% (nc)
  • Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 3.5% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 9 = 51/121 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.5% (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 27.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll mid July 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 912, of whom 839 have a party preference

Dates: 05 July to 18 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 31.5% (+2.5%)
  • Green 9.0% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (nc)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (+0.5)
  • NZ First 4.5% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 40
  • Green 11
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 11 = 51/121 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (-7.0%)
  • Wrong 27.5% (+6.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll late June 2010

July 9, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849, of whom 798 have a party preference

Dates: 21 June to 04 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-4.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 21.0% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-1.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll mid June 2010

June 19, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 923, of whom 863 have a party preference

Dates: 31 May to 13 June 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 50.5% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 9.5% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (nc)
  • Maori 3.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 1.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 40
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 12 = 52/121 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 60.5% (-3.0%)
  • Wrong 24.0% (-2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 15.5% (+5.0%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll late May 2010

June 4, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 902, of whom 852 have a party preference

Dates: 17 May to 30 May 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (-3.5%)
  • Green 9.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 3.5% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 37
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/121 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/121 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.5% (+4.0%)
  • Wrong 26.0% (-2.5%)
  • Can’t Say 10.5% (-1.5%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan Poll late January 2010

February 13, 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,758 (2.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 18 January to 31 January 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (nc)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/121 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 48/121 – 13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 71.0% (+2.5%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (-1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 9.0% (-1.5%)
Leave a comment
« Later posts
Earlier posts »

Curia's blog specialises in polls and polling, with a mainly New Zealand focus. More

Never miss a poll: Subscribe via email

Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
Embed | Methodology

Explore the Archives

By date

By company

By issue

Get our paywalled newsletter on polling insights Subscribe

Get Curia's blog posts
via email