Archives: One News

One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2012

April 1, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: assume 25 March to 29 March 2012

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1% (-0.7%)
  • Maori 1% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 1% (NC)
  • NZ First 3% (-1.2%)
  • Conservative 1% (-1.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 53/122 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (-4%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-4% from Goff)
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll 24 Nov 2011

November 24, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-3.0%)
  • ACT 1.7% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.0% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 4.2% (+2.0%)
  • Conservative 2.4% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52% (-1%)
  • Phil Goff 15% (+2%)
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll 17 November 2011

November 20, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006

Undecideds:

Dates: 12 November to 16 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+4.0%)
  • ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.6% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana 2= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53% (-2%)
  • Phil Goff 13% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 3%
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll 10 November 2011

November 10, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Estimate 1000

Undecideds:

Dates: 05 November to 09 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.5% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 2.1% (+0.8%)
  • United Future 0.8% (+0.7%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 2.9% (+0.7%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 68
  • Labour 35
  • Green 12
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 48/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 55% (-3%)
  • Phil Goff 14% (+4%)
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One News Colmar Brunton poll October 2011

November 6, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 29 October to 2 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (nc)
  • Labour 30.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.9% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/123 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 49/122 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 56% (-3%)
  • Phil Goff 12% (+4%)
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2011

October 2, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 24 to 28 September 2011

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (nc)
  • Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (+3.0%)
  • ACT 1.3% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 1.9% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 48/122 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 59% (+2%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 2% (nc)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 45% (-4%)
  • Worse 35% (+5%)
  • Same 20% (nc)

NZ doing good job of Rugby World Cup Hosting

  • Yes 90%
  • No 5%

Blame for RWC Opening Night Issues

  • The Government 14%
  • The Auckland Council 65%
  • Neither 6%
  • Other 8%

Knowledge of Date of General Election

  • End of this year 77%
  • Next year 11%
  • Not announced yet 8%
  • Unsure 4%

What outcome matters more

  • Rugby World Cup 30%
  • General Election 66%
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2011

September 5, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006, of whom 847 had a party preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 13 to 17 August 2011

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-4.0%)
  • ACT 1.7% (-1.4%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-1.6%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/122 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 57% (+3%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 2% (-1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 49% (-3%)
  • Worse 31% (+3%)
  • Same 19% (-1%)
Rugby World Cup
  • Hosting cost of $40m is money well spent – 54% agree, 40% disagree
  •  50% less likely to buy Adidas in future due to jersey prices
  • 69% think All Blacks will win, 17% do not
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll July 2011

July 21, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference

Dates: 9 to 13 July 2011

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 27.0% (-7.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (+4.0%)
  • ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 3.0% (+1.6%)
  • United Future 0.3% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (+0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 33
  • Green 12
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 46/121 -15 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 54% (+1%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+1%)
  • Winston Peters 3% (+15)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 52% (+4%)
  • Worse 28% (-5%)
  • Same 20% (+1%)
Capital Gains Tax
  • Support 43%
  • Oppose 49%
  • Don’t Know 9%
Raise tax rate to 39% for those over $120,000
  • Support 42%
  • Oppose 54%
  • Don’t Know 5%
Most trusted party to manage economy
  • National 53%
  • Labour 24%
  • Greens 2%
  • ACT 1%
  • Don’t Know 13%
Best Finance Minister
  • Bill English 49%
  • David Cunliffe 29%
  • Don’t Know 23%
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2011

May 29, 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000

Dates: to 21 to 25 May 2011

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
  • ACT 2.5% (+1.2%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-0.9%)
  • United Future ?
  • Mana 0.9%
  • NZ First 1.6% (-2.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 42
  • Green 7
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1= 50/123 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53% (-2%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-3%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+10%)
  • Worse 33% (-12%)
Budget
  • 4% feel better off, 62% the same and 29% worse off
  • 42% support KiwiSaver changes, 50% opposed
  • 31% say Budget will improve economy, 41% no change and 20% will be negative for economy
Racism
  • 21% say NZ has a great deal of racism
  • 55% say some racism
  • 20% say only a little racism
  • 3% say no racism
Maori Rights
  • 45% say Maori have more rights than other New Zealanders
  • 48% say the same rights
  • 6% say less rights
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2010

September 27, 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000

Dates: Estimated 18 September to 23 September 2010

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.1% (-1.6%)
  • Maori 2.3% (nc)
  • United Future
  • Progressive
  • NZ First 2.4% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 39
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 10 = 49/123 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52% (+7%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-1%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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