Digipoll on MMP
November 3, 2009
A Digipoll for the NZ Herald on MMP found:
- 49% would vote in 2011 to ditch MMP
- 36% would vote to retain it
- 15% don’t know
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NZ Herald Digipoll October 2009
October 31, 2009
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
- Right 61.2%
- Wrong 27.5%
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
NZ Herald Digipoll on Smacking July 2009
July 27, 2009
Digipoll did a survey of 200 parents of 4-year-olds. The results are here.
- 61% of mothers smack their child occassionally
- 67% of fathers smack their child occassionally
- Most common punishment for mothers is sending to room at 71% and smacking is most common punishment for only 2% of mothers
- Most common punishment for fathers is sending to room at 63% and smacking is most common punishment for only 6% of fathers
- 95% of mothers reward good behaviour
- Onlu 9% of mothers breastfeed for over a year – down from 42% in 1997
- 40% of mothers never spent a night apart from their child for the first two years
NZ Herald Digipoll November 2008
November 7, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 981 respondents of whom 920 (6.1% are undecided) were decided, (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 29 October to 02 November 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story
Party Support
- National 47.9% (-2.5%)
- Labour 36.4% (-0.6%)
- Green 5.8% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 3.9% (+1.8%)
- Maori 2.3% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.7% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.6%)
- Progressive 0.2% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 46
- Green 7
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 61 + ACT 2 = 63/122 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 4 = 58/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 46.2 (+1.6%)
- Clark 41.6% (-3.8%)
- Peters 5.0% (+1.0%)
Most influential issue
- Economy 34.6% (+6.6%)
Economic Management
November 6, 2008
The Herald Digipoll asked whether a Labour-led government or a National-led one would better handle the New Zealand economy as the world faces a downturn.
- 49.6% said National
- 40.7% said Labour
Herald Digipoll October 2008
October 24, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents of whom 657 (12.4% are undecided) were decided, (3.9% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 22 October 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story
Party Support
- National 50.4% (-1.0%)
- Labour 37.0% (+1.3%)
- Green 5.4% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.1% (-0.7%)
- Maori 2.4% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.2% (-0.2%)
- ACT 1.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 46
- Green 7
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 63/125 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 61/125 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 44.8 (-0.7%)
- Clark 45.4% (+2.3%)
- Peters 4.0% (-1.6%)
Most influential issue
- Economy 34.6% (+6.6%)
Herald DigiPoll on MMP
September 27, 2008
The Herald DigiPoll asked 700 respondents about MMP:
- 35% prefer MMP
- 39% prefer FPP
- 10% prefer another system
- 16% do not know or won’t say
NZ Herald DigiPoll September 2008
September 26, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 700 respondents, (3.8% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 September to 24 September 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.
Party Support
- National 51.4% (+1.4%)
- Labour 35.7% (-0.6%)
- Green 4.9% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 2.8% (+0.7%)
- Maori 2.8% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.4%)
- ACT 1.1% (-1.2%)
- Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 47
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 68/124 – majority possible
- Labour 47 + Progressive 1 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 55/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
NZ Herald DigiPoll August 2008
September 6, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents, (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 3 August to 25 August 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-5.4%)
- Labour 36.3% (+5.5%)
- Green 5.1% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.1% (-2.0%)
- Maori 3.1% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.9%)
- ACT 2.3% (+2.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 45
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Green 6
- United Future 1
- Maori 6
- ACT 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 62 + ACT 3 = 65/124 – majority possible
- Labour 45 + Progressive 1 + Greens 6 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 59/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive in order of ease are Greens, NZ First, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 46.6% (-0.5%)
- Clark 45.0% (+1.0%)
- Peters 5.6% (+0.7%)
Most influential issue
- Economy 24.7% (+1.8%)
- Law & Order 17.0% (-0.2%)
- Tax Cuts 16.3% (-0.2%)
- Hospital Waiting Lists 13.8% (nc)
NZ Herald DigiPoll July 2008
July 29, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 770 respondents, 660 decided respondents (3.6% and 3.9% maximum margins of error)
Dates: Not stated but normally over three weeks, and probably up until 26 July 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.
Party Support
- National 55.4% (+0.5%)
- Labour 30.8% (-1.6%)
- Progressive – 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.1% (+0.8%)
- Green 5.5% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.9% (+0.8%)
- Maori – 2.6% (+0.8%)
- ACT – 0.2% (-0.6%)
14.3% of respondents were undecided
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 39
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Green 7
- United Future 1
- Maori 6
- ACT 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Preferred PM
- Key 47.1% (+1.1%)
- Clark 44.0% (-1.0%)
- Peters 4.9%
Most influential issue
- Economy 22.9%
- Law & Order 17.2%
- Tax Cuts 16.5%
- Hospital Waiting Lists 13.8%