Archives: NZ Herald

Alcohol polls

July 3, 2012

The Herald reports:

A Herald DigiPoll found that 56.5 percent of New Zealanders opposed a minimum price for alcohol, while 40.6 percent supported it.

Also the Herald reports:

Asked which purchase age they preferred in Parliament’s review of liquor laws, 54.4 per cent of respondents said 20 years old, and 25 per cent said 20 for off-licensed stores.

Just 19.4 per cent wanted the age kept at 18 for both on-licences (bars and restaurants) and off-licences (supermarkets and bottle stores).

 

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.4%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 687 had a party vote preference

Dates: 18 to 25 June 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (-0.6%)
  • Labour 34.0% (-0.8%)
  • Green 9.1% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.7% (+1.6%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 43
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 11 + Mana 2 = 56/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.5% (-0.4%)
  • Shearer 14.2% (+1.1%)
  • Peters 7.3% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.7% (+0.5%)

League Tables poll

July 1, 2012

The Herald reports:

Almost 59 per cent of DigiPoll respondents approve of publishing of the material, either by the Ministry of Education or the media or both. But 36.4 per cent believe comparisons between schools are unfair.

The poll of 750 people was conducted between June 18 and 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 per cent.

Gay Adoption poll

June 30, 2012

The Herald reports:

A Herald-DigiPoll showed that 61.2 per cent of the public felt adoption law should be changed to allow all couples, including same-sex couples, to adopt while 35.1 per cent felt adoption should be kept to heterosexual couples. The survey also showed more than half of New Zealanders approved of gay marriage, while 40.5 per cent opposed it.

The poll had a sample size of 750 people, interviewed between June 18 and June 28, and had a margin of error of 3.6 per cent.

The NZ Herald reports:

A Herald-DigiPoll of 750 voters conducted shortly after the announcement of the Alam Halfa exercise suggests more people approve of the resumption of exercises, but not overwhelmingly.

Asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the United States resuming military exercises in New Zealand,” 47.6 per cent approved, 44 per cent disapproved and 8.4 per cent didn’t know or wouldn’t say.

A surprising level of disapproval.

Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman said he was a little surprised and thought support for the exercises might be higher but respondents might have thought it involved ship visits.

I suspect so.

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 697 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 29 April 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.1% (-2.8%)
  • Labour 34.8% (+6.8%)
  • Green 9.2% (-2.6%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.7% (+1.3%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-1.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.1% (-1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 12
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 611 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 57/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.9% (-2.4%)
  • Shearer 13.1% (-6.4% from Goff)
  • Peters 6.4% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.2% (-5.2%)
  • Wrong 42.1% (+5.4%)
  • Unsure 8.7% (-0.2%)

Paid Parental Leave

  • In favour of extending to 26 weeks 48.6%
  • Against 48.4%

Sky City deal

  • 40.3% disapprove
  • 37.7% approve so long as number of pokies over the city drops

 

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.7%

Poll Size: 850 respondents, of whom 785 had a party vote preference

Dates: 17 to 23 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.9% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-1.1%)
  • Green 11.8% (-0.8%)
  • NZ First 5.2% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 0.4% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-01.%)
  • ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-0.1%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 34
  • Green 15
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 126

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/126 – 2 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 56/126 -8 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 66.3% (-2.2%)
  • Goff 19.5% (+1.6%)
  • Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)

Future Leaders

November 20, 2011

The NZ Herald reports:

If Phil Goff left politics, who would be the best Labour leader?

* Annette King 21.9 per cent
* David Cunliffe 16.3 per cent
* Shane Jones 12.7 per cent
* David Parker 11.2 per cent

If John Key left politics, who would be the best National leader?

* Bill English 27.1 per cent
* Steven Joyce 18.6 per cent
* Judith Collins 15.7 per cent
* Gerry Brownlee 10.6 per cent.

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 689 had a party vote preference

Dates: 03 to 09 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 28.7% (-1.2%)
  • Green 12.6% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 3.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 0.5% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.8% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 36
  • Green 16
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 53/124 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 68.5% (-2.1%)
  • Goff 17.9% (+6.2%)
  • Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 10.3%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 673 had a party vote preference

Dates: 28 to 02 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.2% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 29.1% (-1.2%)
  • Green 10.1% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 1.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 1.9% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.9% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.1% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.1% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.6% (nc)
  • Goff 11.7% (-2.0%)
  • Peters 3.7% (+0.2%)

 

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