Fairfax Ipsos poll October 2013
October 28, 2013
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,030 of whom 815 have a party preference
Undecideds: 21.9%
Dates: 19 October 2013 to 23 October 2013
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 50.2% (+1.9%)
- Labour 33.6% (+2.0%)
- Green 10.7% (-1.6%)
- NZ First 2.3% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.1% (nc)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.7% (+0.2%)
- Conservative 0.7% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 43
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 56/124 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Country Direction
- Right 59.5% (+1.2%)
- Wrong 40.5% (-1.2%)
Government Rating
- 5.6/10 (+0.4)
Time for a change
- Yes 50.1% (+1.5%)
- No 43.1% (+0.4%)
Leader Attributes:
- Strong and effective PM – Key +25.2%
- Trust on economy – Key +20.6%
- Stable & united Government Key +19.5%
- Create fair society – Cunliffe +3.3%
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