Archives: Digipoll

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 22 to 28 June 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald and NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.2% (-3.2%)
  • Labour 36.1% (+2.4%)
  • Green 6.6% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 1.2% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.7% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.9% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 44
  • Green 8
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 53/124 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.6% (+2.9%)
  • Goff
  • Peters
  • Clark

Drinking Age

  • 58.6% want a 20/20 age for on and off-licenses
  • 25.7% want an 18 age for on-licenses and 20 for off-licenses
  • 14.5% want an 18/18 age for on and off-licenses
  • 80% support making it an offence to supply alcohol to an under 18 year old without the consent of their parents, with 18.5% against

Rugby World Cup

  • 59.2% say most important thing is visitors have a great time in NZ
  • 36.6% say most important thing is the All Blacks win
Welfare
  • 10% support sole parents on welfare having to seek work when youngest child is three
  • 32% support work testing at age five
  • 54% support work testing at age six

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 19 to 25 May 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald and NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.4% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 33.7% (-3.5%)
  • Green 5.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 2.7% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.7% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.0%

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 42
  • Green 7
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1 = 50/124 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 67.1% (+14.6%)
  • Goff 11.9% (+4.2%)
  • Peters 5.4% (+2.1%)
  • Clark 4.1% (-1.5%)

Leader Ratings

  • Phil Goff – 22.2% above average, 40.4% average, 33.05 below average

KiwiSaver

  • 40.0% approved of changes to KiwiSaver in Budget
  • 48..3% disapprove

Financial situation

  • 9.2% say their financial situation has improved
  • 50.1% say their financial situation is much the same

Asset Sales

  • 29.5% approved of partial SOE sales to raise $7b
  • 62.4% disapprove

Minor Parties

  • 11% believe a Don Brash-led Act Party in coalition with National would leave New Zealand better off
  • 47.3% believe a Don Brash-led Act Party in coalition with National would leave New Zealand worse off
  • 60% say Maori Party is a positive force for Maori voters

Superannuation

  • 52.3% think the age of eligibility for superannuation should be discussed now

Auckland Mayoralty Poll

September 16, 2010

The Herald reports a Digipoll of 750 Aucklanders:

  • Len Brown 28.9% (-0.7%)
  • John Banks 27.8% 9-0.9%)
  • Andrew Williams 1.0% (-3.9%)
  • Colin Craig 1.9% (-1.6%)
  • Undecided 35.2%
  • In a crisis such as an earthquake 27.9% would opt for Banks and 19.2% for Brown
  • If Chch Mayor Bob Parker stood, 36.2% said they would vote for him

Auckland Council poll

August 18, 2010

The Herald reports a Herald Digipoll:

A Herald-DigiPoll survey found 36.3 per cent of Aucklanders believe C&R, which has controlled the Auckland City Council for many years, should control the new Auckland Council. A total of 39.9 per cent of respondents said C&R should not control it and 23.7 per cent did not know or refused to answer.

The poll found 54.8 per cent had heard of C&R and 43.7 per cent had not.

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 600 respondents (4.1% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 29 January to 10 February 2010

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 33.6% (+1.2%)
  • Green 4.6% (nc)
  • NZ First 1.7% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 2.8% (nc)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.8% (-0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.2% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 72
  • Labour 43
  • Green 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 44/123 -18 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 58.0% (+2.7%)
  • Clark 7.0% (-3.6%)
  • Goff 6.8% (+0.6%)

Herald Digipoll on NZ Flag

February 13, 2010

A Herald Digipoll of 600 respondents from 29 Jan to 10 Feb 2010 found:

  • 52% back a change in the NZ flag, while 44% do not
  • If a new flag is designed the preferred national symbol on it is silver fern 53%, kiwi 18%, koru 13%, southern cross 12.5%, tiki 1%
  • 54% say the current flag is distinctive enough
  • 60% want the union jack kept on the flag

Digipoll did a poll of 1,002 Maori voters between the 6th and 27th of January 2010.  685 (68%) were from the Maori Roll and 317 (32%) from the General Roll.

For each result, I give the overall result, then the response for those on the Maori roll and then General Roll.

Party Vote

  • Maori Party 38.3%, 51.2%, 11.30%
  • Labour 27.9%, 31.6%, 51.0%
  • National 16.9%, 11.4%, 28.4%l
  • Greens 3.3%, 3.3%, 3.4%

Preferred PM

  • Key 30.5%, 27.9%, 36.0%
  • Sharples 11.8%, 14.9%, 5.2%
  • Peters 7.0%, 6.0%, 9.2%
  • Turia 4.9%, 6.8%, 1.5%
  • Goff 4.6%, 3.9%, 6.5%
  • Clark 3.8%, 3.7%, 4.0%
  • Harawira 3.0%, 4.5%, 0.3%
  • Jones 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.5%

Does John Key/Phil Goff provide good leadership on Maori issues?

  • John Key Yes – 46.7%, 49.5%, 42.5%
  • John Key No – 37.1%, 36.0%, 40.0%
  • Phil Goff Yes – 18.2%, 17.1%, 19.1%
  • Phil Goff No – 58.9%, 61.9%, 55.1%

Is Phil Goff best person to lead Labour (asked of Labour voters only)?

  • Yes 36.0%, 34.4%, 38.3%
  • No 48.1%, 49.0%, 37.7%

Marae Digipoll November 2009

November 9, 2009

Marae has published the results of a poll done by Digipoll between 18 October and 3 November 2009. It is of 1,002 voters of Maori descent – 700 on the Maori Roll, and 302 on the General Roll.

Party Vote

Maori Party 48%
Labour 26%
National 20%

Electorate Vote (Maori roll only)

Maori Party 57%
Labour 33%
National 7%

Preferred PM

John Key 30%
Helen Clark 11%
Pita Sharples 9%
Tariana Turia 6%
Phil Goff 4%
Winston Peters 4%

PM Approval

Approve 55%
Disapprove 36%

Most Favoured Maori MP

Pita Sharples   31.9%
Tariana Turia   16.7%
Hone Harawira  8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell  3.3%
Parekura Horomia  3.2%

Most Effective Maori MP

Pita Sharples   31.9%
Tariana Turia   16.7%
Hone Harawira  8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell  3.3%
Parekura Horomia  3.2%

Government Approval

Approve 45%
Disapprove 45%

Direction

Right 40%
Wrong 44%

Maori Party Supporters

68% support decision to join the Government and think they made right decision
Only 33% support the arrangement where Maori Party Ministers sit outside Cabinet

Top Issues

Jobs / Unemployment 22.5%
Health   12.6%
Education   10.5%
Family / Whanau  8.9%
Cost of Living  8.7%
Economy   5.6%
Housing   4.1%
Child Care  3.9%
Law and Order  3.7%
Environmental Issues 1.8%
Treaty Claims  1.2%

Digipoll on Maori TV

November 4, 2009

A Herald-Digipoll in October 2009 finds:

  • 44% approved of Maori TV leading a bid for Rugby World Cup coverage
  • 45% disapproved

Digipoll on MMP

November 3, 2009

A Digipoll for the NZ Herald on MMP found:

  • 49% would vote in 2011 to ditch MMP
  • 36% would vote to retain it
  • 15% don’t know
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