One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2015
February 23, 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+3.9%)
- Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
- Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
- Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 39
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 41% (-2.0%)
- Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
- Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)
Islamic State
- 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
- 42% opposed
Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising
- 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
- 45% opposed
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