3 News Reid Research Poll October 2011
November 1, 2011
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 20 October to 27 October 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 52.3% (-5.1%)
- Labour 30.2% (+3.6%)
- Green 9.4% (-0.4%)
- ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.4% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.4% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 52.7% (-1.8%)
- Goff 9.8% (+3.6%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 71.1% (-5.1%) doing well vs 17.9% (+6.4%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.2% (-11.5%)
- Goff – 28.4% (+1.6%) doing well vs 54.2% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.8% (-3.5%)
Govt handling of Rena
- 36% didn’t do well
- 30% okay
- 34% done well
Importance of Issues
- Environment 8.2/10
- food prices and the quality of our schools at 7.9.
- Hospital care was third at 7.8.
- The price of petrol was fourth at 7.7.
- The number of people living in poverty was fifth 7.5.
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