Roy Morgan poll September 2024
October 8, 2024
The Sep 2024 Roy Morgan poll is here.
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Newshub Reid Research poll May 2018
June 18, 2018
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 17 to 24 May 2018
Client: Newshub
Report: Reid Research
Party Support
- National 45.1% (+0.6%)
- Labour 42.6% (+0.3%)
- Green 5.7% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 2.4% (-1.4%)
- Maori 0.9% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.2% (nc)
- Opportunities 1.6% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 55
- Green 8
- ACT 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/122 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 = 0/122
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government
Preferred PM
- Simon Bridges 9.0% (+8.5%)
- Jacinda Ardern 40.2% (+2.3%)
- Winston Peters 4.6% (-1.1%)
- Judith Collins 3.7% (+3.5%)
Leader Ratings
- Simon Bridges – +11.9%
- Jacinda Ardern – +54.8%
Peters as Acting PM
- do well 39%
- not do well or unsure 60%
M Bovis
- 44% support taxpayer funding cost of eradication
- 44.5% do not support
One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2018
June 18, 2018
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 839 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 19 to 23 May 2018
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 45.0% (+1%)
- Labour 43.0% (nc)
- Green 5.0% (-1%)
- NZ First 4.2% (-0.8%)
- Maori 0.9% (-0.3%)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
- Opportunities 0.5% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 55
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/120 – two fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 55 + Greens 6 = 61/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0= 0/120
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government
Preferred PM
- Simon Bridges 12.0% (+2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 41% (+4%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-1%)
- Judith Collins 2% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 40% (+3%)
- Same 25% (-4%)
- Worse 35 (+1%)
Government’s management of Budget
- Better than expected 9%
- Same as expected 56%
- Worse than expected 11%
Government management of M Bovis outbreak
- Good 14%
- Okay 42%
- Poor 24%
Increase in fuel tax
- Support 36%
- Oppose 585
Winston Peters as Acting PM will do
- Good job 32% (-2%)
- Okay job 53% (+3%)
- Bad job 11% (nc)
One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2018
March 19, 2018
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 822 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 10 to 14 February 2018
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 43.0% (-3%)
- Labour 48.0% (+9%)
- Green 5.0% (-2%)
- NZ First 2.6% (-2.4%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.2%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
- Opportunities 0.6% (-0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 59
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
Coalition Options
- CR – National 54 + ACT 1 = 55/120 – six fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 69 + Greens 6 = 65/120 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0= 0/121
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 20.0% (-8%) (taken partly after resignation announced)
- Jacinda Ardern 41% (+4%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-1%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 37% (+1%)
- Same 30% (+2%)
- Worse 33 (-3%)
One News Colmar Brunton poll December 2017
December 13, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 874 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 29 November to 5 December 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (nc)
- Labour 39.0% (+2%)
- Green 7.0% (-1%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+0.1%)
- Maori 0.9% (+0.4%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Opportunities 1.2% (-1.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 48
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 48 + Greens 9 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 6= 6/121
On this poll there would be a NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 28.0% (-9%)
- Jacinda Ardern 37% (+6%)
- Winston Peters 5% (-1%)
Government Direction
- Right 51%
- Wrong 26%
- Unsure 23%
Roy Morgan poll November 2017
December 5, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 887 of whom 869 have a party preference
Undecideds: 2.0%
Dates: 30 October to 12 November 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 40.5% (-5.5%)
- Labour 39.5% (+8.5%)
- Green 10.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- TOP 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 51
- Labour 49
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 120
Coalition Options
- CR – National 51 + ACT 1 = 52/120 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 49 + Greens 13 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 6 = 8/120
On this poll Labour could govern with the Greens.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (+8.0%)
- Wrong 20.0% (-7.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
Newshub Reid Research poll 21 September 2017
September 21, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 13 to 20 September 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 45.8% (-1.5%)
- Labour 37.3% (-0.5%)
- Green 7.1% (+2.2%)
- NZ First 7.1% (+1.1%)
- Maori 0.4% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
- Opportunities 0.9% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 45
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 = 57/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 9 = 54/122 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 34.7% (+1.6%)
- Jacinda Ardern 29.7% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 7.1% (+0.2%)