Archives: NZ Political Party Polls

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 871 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 30 June to 13 July 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+2.5%)
  • Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 1.0% (nc)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.5%)
  • Other 0.0% (-0.5%)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Projected Seats
  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Green 9
  • United Future 1
  • Maori 6
  • ACT 1
  • Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Country Direction
  • Right 36.5% (-0.5%)
  • Wrong 49.5% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14% (nc)

There will be much interest is the poll done in Ikaroa-Rawhiti by Marae and presumably DigiPoll. Presumably it was done during or after the Derek Fox allegations. The results will be on Marae on TV One on 20 July.

Note this is not a poll, but an online survey/competition and is not scientific. It is included here as a reference.

Company: Jimungo

Method: Online, not random but self-selecting

Poll Size: Approx 6,000

Dates: 23 June to 7 July 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

  • National 57.2%
  • Labour 24.4%
  • Green 4.7%
  • NZ First 4.2%
  • Maori 2.3%
  • ACT 1.6%
  • United Future 0.9%
  • Progressive 0.2%
  • Other 4.5%

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Unknown – presumably phone

Poll Size: 930 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 16 to 29 June 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 51.5% (-1%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-1%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.0% (nc)
  • Green 8.0% (+1%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (nc)
  • Other 0.5% (nc)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Country Direction
  • Right 37% (-5.5%)
  • Wrong 49% (+8.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14% (-3.0%)
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