NZ Herald DigiPoll August 2008
September 6, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents, (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 3 August to 25 August 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-5.4%)
- Labour 36.3% (+5.5%)
- Green 5.1% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.1% (-2.0%)
- Maori 3.1% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.9%)
- ACT 2.3% (+2.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 45
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Green 6
- United Future 1
- Maori 6
- ACT 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 62 + ACT 3 = 65/124 – majority possible
- Labour 45 + Progressive 1 + Greens 6 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 59/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive in order of ease are Greens, NZ First, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 46.6% (-0.5%)
- Clark 45.0% (+1.0%)
- Peters 5.6% (+0.7%)
Most influential issue
- Economy 24.7% (+1.8%)
- Law & Order 17.0% (-0.2%)
- Tax Cuts 16.3% (-0.2%)
- Hospital Waiting Lists 13.8% (nc)
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