Archives: NZ Political Party Polls

Newshub Reid Research poll early September 2017

September 12, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  6 to 11 September 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.3% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 37.8% (-1.6%)
  • Green 4.9% (-1.2%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 49
  • Green 0
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.1% (+3.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 31.7% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (nc)
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Waiariki poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50%
  • Maori Party 27%
  • NZ First 10%
  • National 6%
  • Greens 5%

Electorate Vote

  • Tamati Coffey (L) 40%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell (M) 60%
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Hauraki-Waikato poll

September 11, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 53%
  • NZ First 15%
  • Maori Party 15%

Electorate Vote

  • Nanaia Mahuta (L) 78%
  • Rahui Papa (M) 22%
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Whangarei poll

September 3, 2017

Colmar Brunton did a poll for Q+A in Whangarei. They found:

Party Vote

  • National 41%
  • Labour 37%
  • NZ First 16%
  • Greens 3.6%
  • Maori Party 1.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Shane Reti (N) 42%
  • Shane Jones (NZF) 24%
  • Tony Savage (L) 22%
  • Ash Holwell (G) 10%
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Te Tai Tonga poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 47.6% (+10.7%)
  • Maori Party 11.7% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 14.4% (+1.5%)
  • Greens 9.3% (+7.2%)
  • National 14.1% (-0.3%)

Electorate Vote

  • Rino Tirikatene (L) 57.1% (+14.2%)
  • Mei Reedy-Taare (M) 22.1% (-2.8%)
  • Metiria Turei (G) 20.7% (-4.1%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Te Tai Hauauru poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 41.8% (-0.4%)
  • Maori Party 24.0% (+6.4%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (-0.8%)
  • Greens 8.1% (-3.8%)
  • National 11.2% (+4.1%)

Electorate Vote

  • Adrian Rurawhe (L) 39.0% (-2.3%)
  • Howie Tamati (M) 52.0% (+18.6%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Ikaroa-Rawhiti poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50.4% (+2.3%)
  • Maori Party 21.1% (+8.7%)
  • NZ First 12.0% (+0.6%)
  • Greens 7.5% (-3.9%)
  • National 5.9% (+0.4%)

Electorate Vote

  • Meka Whaitiri (L) 55.0% (+8.7%)
  • Marama Fox (M) 39.0% (+20.7%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Q+A Colmar Brunton Ohariu poll August 2017

August 18, 2017

From Colmar Brunton:

Party Vote

  • National 46%
  • Labour 35%
  • Greens 12%
  • NZ First 4%
  • TOP 1.8%
  • United Future 0.5%
  • Maori 0.4%
  • ACT 0.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Greg O’Connor 48%
  • Peter Dunne 34%
  • Brett Hudson 14%
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One News Colmar Brunton poll early August 2017

August 17, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 834 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 12 August to 16 August 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 37.0% (+13.0%)
  • Green 4.3.0% (-10.7%)
  • NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 2.1% (+0.6%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.1%)
  • Opportunities 2.1% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 49
  • Green 0
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 30.0% (+2%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 30% (+24%)
  • Winston Peters 7% (-3%)
Economy
  • Better 55% (+7%)
  • Same 31% (+2%)
  • Worse 14% (-8%)
Water Tax
  • Support 59%
  • Oppose 32%

Increase tax rate for those earning over $150,000

  • Support 63%
  • Oppose 30%
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Newshub Reid Research poll early August 2017

August 17, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  1 to 8 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 44.4% (-0.8%)
  • Labour 33.1% (+9.0%)
  • Green 8.3% (-4.7%)
  • NZ First 9.2% (-3.8%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • Opportunities 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 27.7% (+1.9%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 26.3% (+17.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.0% (-1.9%)

 

Leader Approval

  • Bill English – 51.3% (+0.7%) well and 23.2% (-1.0%) poorly for a net +28.1% (+1.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern – 51.6%(+22.0% from Little)) well and 13.3% (-32.8%) poorly for a net +38.3% (+52.8%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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