Roy Morgan mid August 2009
August 24, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 816 (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 3 August to 16 August 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.5% (nc)
- Labour 32.5% (-1.5%)
- Green 8.5% (+1.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 40
- Green 10
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 51/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-3.5%)
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