3 News Reid Research Poll May 2011
May 29, 2011
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 20 May to 26 May 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 32.8% (+5.7%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.2%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.6% (-0.9%)
- United Future 0.2%
- Mana 0.5%
- NZ First 2.4% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 41
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 50/123 -12 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 48.2% (-4.2%)
- Clark 4.5% (+2.0%)
- Goff 7.6% (+0.8%)
- Peters 4.0% (-0.4%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 68.6% (-7.2%) doing well vs 17.0% (+4.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.6% (-11.3%)
- Goff – 27.7% (+1.0%) doing well vs 47.3% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -19.6% (-3.0%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 22% (-3%)
- down to earth – Key by 15% (-3%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 19% (-6%)
- has personality – Key by 54% (+4%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-3%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 3% (+1%)
- out of touch – Key by 8% (+2%)
KiwiSaver
- 43% support changes to KiwiSaver
- 42% against KiwiSaver change
- 87% of people in KiwiSaver will remain, but 13% want to exit
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