Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Cannabis poll August 2016

August 15, 2016

The Herald reports on a poll done by Curia for the NZ Drug Foundation.

150816CANNABISonline

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 22 July to 3 August 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-1.9%)
  • Labour 32.7% (+1.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 10.5% (+1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 10.9% (-1.2%)

Housing

  • 22% (+2%) think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 75% (-1%)  do not
  • 56% support Labour’s Kiwibuild (100,000 new houses in 10 years) policy
  • 41% do not

Immigration

  • 60% think the Government should let fewer immigrants in
  • 37% do not

Stuff reports:

A new poll shows a majority of Kiwis support the Government plan to set up an ocean sanctuary in the Kermadec region.

Of 1,150 New Zealanders that took part in the polling, 89 per cent were in favour of the reserve – with 62 per cent in definite support, while 28 per cent ‘probably’ supported it (results were rounded).

Those who opposed the sanctuary made up 5 per cent, with the rest saying they were unsure.

Polling also found that for those who identified as Maori, 86 per cent were in support.

The poll was commissioned by conservation group WWF and carried out by Colmar Brunton from 27 April to 8 May, after Te Ohu Kaimoana launched legal proceedings against the Government on 29 April for allegedly breaching Maori fishing rights.

UMR poll on tax avoidance

April 28, 2016

The NZ Herald reports:

Pressure over the Panama Papers on the Government is rising after a poll showed a majority of New Zealanders were concerned about the country’s new reputation as a tax haven.

An announcement by international investigators said details of hundreds of thousands of entities, including many with local links, would soon be made public.

A poll by UMR Research, conducted for activist group ActionStation, showed 57 per cent of respondents were “concerned” about New Zealand being a tax haven and the misuse of our foreign trust regime for tax evasion purposes. Just 23 per cent said they were “not concerned” about the issue. …

The UMR poll, of 750 people between April 14 and 18 and with a margin of error of 3.6 per cent, also asked respondents how they thought the Government had handled the fallout from the Panama Papers and whether they thought the review of foreign trusts by former PWC chairman John Shewan, was an adequate response.

Nearly half, or 46 per cent of respondents, said the Government was handling the issue poorly, with only 21 per cent saying it was being handled well. And more than half, or 52 per cent of respondents, said the Shewan review was an inadequate response to the issue.

 

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 voters of whom 841 have a party preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 2 to 6 April 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+3%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-4%)
  • Green 10.0% (+2.0%)
  • NZ First 9.0% (-1%)
  • Maori 1.1% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.3% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 34
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 11 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.0% (-1)
  • Andrew Little 7.0% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 10.0% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (nc)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 43% (+5%)
  • Worse 33% (-6%)
  • Same 24% (+1%)

Sugar Tax

  • 66% support a tax on soda drinks with sugar
  • 29% oppose

Universal Basic Income (UBI)

  • Support 32%
  • Oppose 49%

Medical Marijuana (cannabis)

  • Support 73%
  • Oppose 21%

Immigration Levels

  • More migrants 18%
  • Fewer migrants 27%
  • About right level 51%

 

Cannabis poll

March 31, 2016

UMR polled 750 people on cannabis issues:

  • 72% support the use of marijuana for medical purposes
  • 13% oppose the use of marijuana for medical purposes
  • 46% support the legalisation of small amounts of marijuana for personal use
  • 46% oppose the legalisation of small amounts of marijuana for personal use

UMR flag polls Mar 2016

March 22, 2016

UMR did another poll on the flag referendum:

  • 58% keep flag
  • 35% change
  • 7% unsure

UMR flag poll

March 7, 2016

Stuff reports:

As voting gets underway there is still overwhelming support for the current flag over a change to the silver fern design.

The latest UMR Research poll undertaken in the last week of February has 59 per cent wanting to keep the flag and 32 per cent in favour of change.

Because this poll was done over the phone, those people who were unsure which way they would vote were included and came out at 9 per cent.

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,004 of whom 855 had a party preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 13 to 17 February 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (+1%)
  • Green 8.0% (-4.0%)
  • NZ First 10.0% (+1%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.3% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.6% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 39
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 10 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 40.0% (nc)
  • Andrew Little 9.0% (+1%)
  • Winston Peters 9.0% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (-1%)

NZ Flag

  • Current Flag 63%
  • Alternative Flag 26%

Police Pursuits

  • Police should be able to pursue any vehicle that fails to stop 68%
  • NZ law should be changed 26%

TPP

  • May impact our sovereignty and I’m concerned 44%
  • May impact our sovereignty and not a big concern 22%
  • Not much impact of sovereignty 24%

Newshub reports:

The latest Newshub/Reid Research poll is bad news for Prime Minister John Key, with 61 percent of people saying no, they don’t want to change the New Zealand flag. Only 30 percent want a change.

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