Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Abortion poll

March 13, 2017

Curia did polling for ALRANZ on views of legality of abortion in different scenarios.

The net level of support (those saying legal less those saying illegal for each circumstance was:
– Pregnant woman likely to die +72%
– Foetus has no chance of survival +70%
– Pregnant woman likely to be permanently harmed +70%
– Pregnancy is a result of rape +65%
– Pregnancy is a result of birth control failure +31%
– Pregnant mother can’t afford to have another child +27%
– Pregnant woman doesn’t want to be a mother +22%

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Property prices poll

March 13, 2017

The Herald reports:

Half of all surveyed in the Property Institute’s February poll expressed an expectation prices would continue to go up in the next six months, with Wellingtonians and those aged 18 – 30 most likely to expect it to do so.

Of the 1006 people in the phone survey, 12 per cent thought the prices would drop, compared to 34 per cent who thought prices would go unchanged.

The poll also found the public ranked foreign investment as a strong influence in the market – on average 6.7/10, compared to 6.1/10 for tradespeople and developers and 6/10 for local investors.

Property Institute Chief executive Ashley Church said there had been a noticeable shift in public expectation since the last poll.

“Back in November 56 per cent of people thought property prices would keep rising in the next six months.

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Roy Morgan poll February 2017

February 28, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 852 of whom 805 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 30 January to 12 February 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 = 48/121 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/121

On this poll National would govern with ACT and United Future.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 23.5% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)

Most Important Issues

  • Housing 26% (-1%)
  • Poverty 17% (+1%)
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Stay at home parenting poll

January 20, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

In the independent poll of 846 people undertaken by Curia Market Research, 74% of respondents agreed with the statement; “It is generally better for children when one of the parents can stay home as a full-time parent”. Only 19% disagreed. Strongest support came from Green Party supporters (86%) followed by NZ First supporters (76%). Lowest was from Labour supporters (69%). Stronger support was from males than females.

60% of respondents also agreed with the statement; “As the Government presently subsidises Early Childhood Education, the Government should also subsidise a parent who stays at home to care for a young child.” 30% disagreed, with 11% unsure or refusing to say.

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Sex education poll

January 20, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

In the independent poll of 846 people undertaken by Curia Market Research, 78% said that they would be confident teaching their children about sex and sexuality issues. Confidence was higher amongst National and NZ First supporters than Labour / Green supporters.

62% believe that parents, not the Government, should have the final say on what sex education is provided in schools – with parents of children under 18 stronger on this view than adults without young children (68% v 59%). Once again, National and NZ First supporters backed the role of parents (65% and 63% respectively) but support for the government rather than parents dictating the curriculum was higher amongst Green voters.

 

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Anti-smacking law poll November 2016

January 15, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

  • 23% agree it should be a criminal offence for a parent to give their child a smack that is reasonable and for the purpose of correction
  • 72% disagree
  • 65% said regardless of the law they would smack their child to correct their behaviour if they thought it was reasonable
  • 28% said they would not
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National Leadership poll

December 6, 2016

A Fairfax Nielsen poll finds the following support to replace John Key as Leader and Prime Minister:

  • Don’t Know 39%
  • Bill English 37%
  • Steven Joyce 6%
  • Judith Collins 4%
  • Paula Bennett 4%
  • Amy Adams 3%
  • Other 6%

Also in terms of impact on voting National:

  • 9% now more likely to vote National
  • 16% less likely

And in terms of election timing:

  • 61% no early election
  • 17% as soon as possible
  • 13% within six months
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UMR poll on Scott Watson

November 27, 2016

The Herald reports:

GUILTY
2002: 59%
2016: 23%
NOT GUILTY
2002: 15%
2016: 29%
UNSURE
2002: 26%
2016: 48%

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One News Colmar Brunton poll November 2016

November 27, 2016

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,010 voters of whom 839 have a party preference

Undecideds: 16%

Dates: 12 November to 23 November 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+2%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2%)
  • Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
  • NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.2% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 34
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 12
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 13 = 47/122 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.0% (-2%)
  • Andrew Little 8% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 8% (-3%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 43% (-2%)
  • Same 24% (nc)
  • Worse 33% (+2%)

Foreign property tax

  • Support a 15% tax on foreign house buyers in Auckland 75%
  • Oppose 18%

Plastic bag levy

  • Support a 15c per bag levy 78%
  • Oppose 19%

Surplus 2016

  • Increase spending 48%
  • Reduce debt 31%
  • Reduce taxes 17%
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ResearchNZ poll on Euthanasia

November 6, 2016

ResearchNZ polled 500 people on euthanasia:

Suppose a person has a painful, incurable disease. Do you think that doctors should be allowed by law to end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?

  • Yes 65% (-2% from July 2015)
  • No 22% (-2%)
  • Don’t Know 13% (+4%)

Still thinking of that person with a painful, incurable disease, do you think that someone else, such as a close relative, should be allowed by law to help end the patient’s life, if the patient requests it?

  • Yes 43% (-1%)
  • No 46% (-2%)
  • Don’t Know 11% (+3%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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