Archives: NZ Issues Polls

UMR on Immigration

July 13, 2017

The Spinoff reports:

  • 34% positive on immigration
  • 41% neutral
  • 23% negative
  • 61% support migrants being able to continue traditional cultural practices, 33% opposed

Roy Morgan reports on the biggest issues:

  1. Poverty 14%
  2. House prices 13.7%
  3. Homelessness 9.6%
  4. Government 6.2%
  5. Immigration 5.5%

Horizon reported:

Support for medical assistance to die for those suffering from end-stage terminal illness and irreversible unbearable suffering was 75% overall, with only 11% opposed. …

Polling of another possible policy option found overall support was also very strong for medical assistance to die for people who had irreversible conditions, such as motor neurone disease, which may not cause death in the immediate future, with 66% in favour and 15% opposed or strongly opposed.

Stuff reports:

The survey, commissioned by Church Property Trustees, found 59 per cent of respondents felt Anglicans should not make the decision alone. About 48 per cent of those polled believed the Government should intervene in the future of the cathedral.

It also found 58 per cent of Christchurch residents polled favoured restoration of the earthquake-damaged building, while 33 per cent wanted a new building and 9 per cent did not mind or care what happened. …

However, respondents’ preferences changed after they were told a new build would not require government or ratepayer funds, would take eight years and would not have an impact on rates.

This was contrasted to restoration, which had a $56 million funding gap, would take seven years and would cost $1000 a day in insurance once restored. The survey did not mention the $10m government loan offer or a $15 million funding pledge from heritage group the Great Christchurch Buildings Trust for the restoration.

After this, 43 per cent of respondents wanted restoration, 49 per cent wanted a new build and 8 per cent eight per cent still did not mind or care what happened.

Curia did a poll for the Property Institute. It asked how important is housing policy in determining your vote:

  • Will determine 8%
  • Very important 29%
  • Important 29%
  • Not an issue 32%

Mental Health poll

May 27, 2017

Stuff reports:

Only one out of ten New Zealanders thinks the Government is adequately supporting mental health care.

That’s according to a new poll released on Wednesday for the Public Service Association.

The poll showed 13 per cent of those surveyed thought the Government was doing enough to make sure Kiwis had the mental health care they needed when they needed it.

A further 60 per cent thought the Government wasn’t doing enough and 22 per cent were neutral. Five per cent of respondents weren’t sure.

 

The Property Institute released:

“The number of people predicting an increase in property prices over the next six months is up 5% to 55% since March. Those expecting prices to decrease has dropped 5% from 12% to just 7%”.

“This means that expectations have rebounded to figures that closely match our November poll (56% increase & 8% decrease) – except in Auckland where there has been a big slump in expectations. Back in November 58% of Aucklanders were expecting house prices to rise – but last month that figure was down 12% to 46%, unchanged from our March poll”.

Pornography poll

May 1, 2017

A poll by Curia for Family First found:

  • 71% of respondents think pornography overall is bad for society and only 4% good.
  • 68% say online depictions of sexual violence are very harmful to society and 90% say moderately or very harmful.
  • 72% says there is a fair bit or a lot of connection and 42% say there is a lot of connection between online pornography and public issues such as ‘rape culture’ and sexting.
  • 62% of adults say they have come across pornography online, when not seeking it out. 13% say this has happened often and 48% at least occasionally.
  • 91% say that it is too easy for under 18s to access online pornography.
  • 81% say that Internet Providers should be required by the Government to offer filters to block pornographic material.
  • 70% say that Internet Providers should automatically block pornography unless the customer opts out by turning off a filter.

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters

Undecideds:

Dates: 18 March to 22 March 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 30.0% (nc)
  • Green 11.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 4.0% (+3.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.6%)
  • Conservative 0.3% (+0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.4% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 36
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 14 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 5 = 14/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-5%)
  • Andrew Little 7% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 9% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 9% (+5%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 46% (-2%)
  • Same 28% (-2%)
  • Worse 26% (+4%)

Superannuation

  • Support increase in eligibility age to 67 – 52%
  • Opposed 40%

Freedom Camping

  • 69% think more needs to be done to control behaviour of freedom campers
  • 23% disagree

Vaccinations

  • 48% support banning unvaccinated children from early childhood centres
  • 43% disagree

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  10 to 19 March 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.1% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 30.8% (-1.9%)
  • Green 11.2% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 7.6% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 0.7% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.4%)
  • Conservative 0.4% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.8%

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 25.0% (-11.7% from Key)
  • Andrew Little 8.3% (-2.2%)
  • Winston Peters 8.9% (-2.0%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 10.5%

Labour Leader

  • Andrew Little 46%
  • Jacinda Ardern 38%

Housing

  • Is Government doing enough to control housing market – yes 19%
  • No 19%

Immigration

  • 51% support a cut in immigration
  • 39% do not

Superannuation

  • 52% support increase in entitlement age to 67
  • 42% do not
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