Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Climate Change Poll

September 20, 2010

UMR conducted a poll of 503 respondents in July and August on climate change issues, for the Greenhouse Policy Coalition:

  • 36% say the climate change issues is a serious or very serious concern (-7% from 43% in 2009)
  • 25% say NZ should reduce emissions, even if it reduces standard of living (-10%)
  • 58% say NZ should take part in an agreed international emissions scheme even if it costs every NZer $50 a year (-6%)
  • 18% say NZ should reduce emissions even if it costs jobs (-6%)
  • 45% agree controlling emissions is about saving the planet and should ot quibble over money (-11%)
  • 66% agree NZ should switch to more sustainable technologies, even if there is a cost to doing so (-13%)
  • On a 0 to 10 scale for fairness of putting a price on carbon emissions, 51% rate it 5 or higher (-6%)
  • 34% say they are informed about the ETS (+5%)
  • 46% say that climate change is a problem and is caused by human activity (+2%)
  • 33% say that climate change is a problem but there is no clear proof it is caused by human activity (-3%)
  • 19% say that climate change is not a problem (+1%)
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Oil substitutes poll

September 10, 2010

A poll of 500 people by Colmar Brunton for Greenpeace.

Respondents were told that oil prices would rise steadily as cheaper oil supplies ran out.

They were asked if they thought the Government should:

  • Invest now in developing public transport and alternatives to petrol and diesel for New Zealand – 72%
  • Allow consumers and companies to find or develop their own alternative transport methods and fuels when they consider petrol and diesel prices have become too high – 24%
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Liquor Sale Hours

September 9, 2010

Research NZ did a poll of 500 people from 4 to 12 August. Respondents were asked what is the latest time bars should be able to stay open until. Note they were not asked whether there should be a nationwide closing time at all:

  • 26% (cumulatively) said by midnight
  • 63% said by 2 am
  • 81% said by 4 am
  • 19% of under 34 year olds said midnight, compared to 42% of over 55s
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Assisted Suicide/Euthanasia poll

September 9, 2010

Research NZ did a poll of 500 people from 4 to 12 August:

  • 47% say assisted suicide should be legal in NZ
  • 44% disagree
  • Only 39% of under 35s agree, but 51% of over 35s agree
  • 49% of Europeans agree but only 37% of Maori/Pacific agree
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Compulsory te reo Maori poll

September 9, 2010

Research NZ did a poll of 500 people from 4 to 12 August:

  • 38% say te reo Maori should be compulsory in all schools
  • 57% disagree
  • Amongst under 34 year olds, 50% support it being compulsory
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TV3 Reid Research Poll August 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 890 have a party preference, (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 06 August to 10 August 2010

Client: TV3

Report: TV3

Party Support

  • National 54.5% (-0.8%)
  • Labour 30.6% (+0.1%)
  • Green 9.5% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 2.2% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 1.5% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 12
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT  and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 48.7% (-0.9%)
  • Clark 2.3% (-2.6%)
  • Goff 7.4% (+2.3%)
  • Peters 3.7% (+0.9%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 69.9% (+0.9%) doing well vs 15.9% (nc) doing poorly – net positive is 54.0% (+0.9%)
  • Goff  – 30.9% (+3.7%) doing well vs 43.9% (-1.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -13.0% (+5.2%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • capable leader – Key by 44% (+6%)
  • good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+7%)
  • sound judgement – Key by 21% (nc)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+1%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • more style than substance – Key by 13% (-1%)
  • talk down to people – Goff by 2% (-8%)
  • narrow minded – Goff by 6% (-3%)
  • inflexible – Goff by 7% (+2%)

Land sales to foreigners

  • 76% say tighten rules
  • 14% say leave as it is
  • 8% say relax the rules
Drink Driving
  • 35% say keep at 80
  • 36% say reduce to 50
  • 28% say reduce to zero
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference

Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (nc)
  • Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (nc)
  • ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
    Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 9
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
  • 19% same (+1.0%)
  • 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 45% (-1.0%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
  • Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
  • 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
  • 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
  • 60% support extending to all employers
  • 36% opposed
Chris Carter
  • 58% say he should resign from Parliament
  • 33% say he should not

Phil Goff

  • 24% say he can win the next election
  • 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters
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Oil Drilling Poll

July 13, 2010

ResearchNZ did a poll of 501 people from 22 to 30 June 2010.

  • 49% favour off shore drilling within NZ’s 200 km EEZ and 35% are against.
  • 63% have a more negative opinion of bP since the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico
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ETS Poll

July 13, 2010

ResearchNZ polled 501 people from 22 June to 30 June on the Emissions Trading Scheme:

  • 58% said they do not understand the ETS well, 16% said they did and 24% were in the middle
  • 49% said they are in favour of the ETS, with 44% disagreeing
  • If costs increase for consumers then only 37% in favour and 63% against
  • 57% say NZ should lead by example when it comes to reducing emissions and 38% say wait and see what other countries do
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TV3 poll June 2010

June 20, 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 880 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 June to 15 June 2010

Client: TV3

Report: TV3

Party Support

  • National 55.3% (+3.2%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-3.3%)
  • Green 7.5% (-0.7%)
  • ACT 1.6% (nc)
  • Maori 1.9%  (nc)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 1.8% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 38
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 49.6% (+0.4%)
  • Clark 4.9% (+1.2%)
  • Goff 5.1% (-2.4%)
  • Peters ?

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 69.0% (+0.2%) doing well vs 15.9% (-0.5%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.1% (+0.7%)
  • Goff  – 27.2% (-6.9%) doing well vs 45.4% (+3.9%) doing poorly – net positive is -18.2% (-10.8%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • honest – Key by 20% (-6%)
  • down to earth – Key by 12% (-5%)
  • understands econ problems – Key by 23% (-2%)
  • has personality – Key by 46% (+4%)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 5% (-9%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • inexperienced – Key by 13% (-2%)
  • out of touch – Key by 4% (+1%)
Asset Sales
  • 85% say Govt should not sell Kiwibank, 9% say sell
  • 53.5% believe National will try and sell Kiwibank if they win a second term, 29.5% think they won’t
  • 80% say no the sale of any state assets, with only 12% supporting sale
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 33.8% 42
Labour 31.2% 39
Green 9.8% 12
Act 9.3% 12
NZ First 7.0% 9
TPM 4.4% 6
CR 50.1% 63
CL 45.3% 57
7/04/25
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