Archives: NZ Issues Polls

US military exercises poll

May 14, 2012

The NZ Herald reports:

A Herald-DigiPoll of 750 voters conducted shortly after the announcement of the Alam Halfa exercise suggests more people approve of the resumption of exercises, but not overwhelmingly.

Asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the United States resuming military exercises in New Zealand,” 47.6 per cent approved, 44 per cent disapproved and 8.4 per cent didn’t know or wouldn’t say.

A surprising level of disapproval.

Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman said he was a little surprised and thought support for the exercises might be higher but respondents might have thought it involved ship visits.

I suspect so.

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Contraception for Beneficiaries

May 13, 2012

Stuff reports:

The public is right behind the Government’s plans to stop beneficiaries having babies.

Although critics have attacked the decision to provide free contraception for beneficiaries, two polls show the public loves the idea.

Nearly 80 per cent of respondents in a Sunday Star-Times reader poll supported funding long-term reversible contraception for female beneficiaries and their 16 to 19-year-old daughters. More than half wanted the Government to go further.

And a Research New Zealand poll found 65 per cent support, and that while those on low incomes were less likely to favour the proposal, there was still 54 per cent support among those earning less than $40,000.

Note the SST readers poll is not a scientific random poll.

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Non Voting Poll

May 5, 2012

Colmar Brunton polled 1,097 voters and 272 non voters for the Electoral Commission.

  • 84% of voters voted on e-day, 16% prior
  • 37% of non voters were unaware of advance voting and of them, 59% say they would have voted if aware
  • 87% of respondents aware of referendum, being 93% of voters and 66% of non-voters
  • 67% of respondents felt fairly or very confident of knowing enough to make a decision for the referendum
  • 64% of non-voters considering voting
  • 43% of non voters decided not to vote on election day
  • Factors listed as significantly influencing the decision not to vote
    • Don’t trust politicians 53%
    • Obvious who would win 57%
    • Not interested in politics 54%
    • Makes no difference to me who wins 55%
    • My vote won’t make a difference 66%
    • Not enough info to choose 54%
    • Not like the personalities 68%
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NZ Herald Digipoll April 2012

May 1, 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 697 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 29 April 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.1% (-2.8%)
  • Labour 34.8% (+6.8%)
  • Green 9.2% (-2.6%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.7% (+1.3%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-1.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.1% (-1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 12
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 611 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 57/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.9% (-2.4%)
  • Shearer 13.1% (-6.4% from Goff)
  • Peters 6.4% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.2% (-5.2%)
  • Wrong 42.1% (+5.4%)
  • Unsure 8.7% (-0.2%)

Paid Parental Leave

  • In favour of extending to 26 weeks 48.6%
  • Against 48.4%

Sky City deal

  • 40.3% disapprove
  • 37.7% approve so long as number of pokies over the city drops

 

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Crafar Farms poll

March 20, 2012

Fairfax reports a poll by UMR. Key results were:

“Are you aware of the proposal to sell 16 agricultural properties, the Crafar farms, in the central North Island to an overseas company?

Yes: 87 per cent 
No: 12 per cent
Unsure: 1 per cent

“The Chinese company Shanghai Pengxin wants to buy the Crafar farms; do you support or oppose selling the farms to this Chinese company?”

Support: 21 per cent
Oppose:71 per cent
Unsure: 8 per cent

“Do you agree, or disagree, with this statement: ‘I don’t care what the nationality of the company is, 
I don’t want the farms to be sold to a foreign buyer’.”

Agree:  70 per cent
Disagree:  26 per cent
Unsure: 4 per cent

 

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UMR on foreign ownership

November 6, 2011

Stuff reports:

A UMR Research survey, commissioned by a North Island farmer group trying to buy the in-receivership Crafar dairy farms against a Chinese bid, showed 82 per cent of 500 respondents believed foreign ownership of farms and agriculture land was a “bad thing”. Only 10 per cent believed it a “good thing” and 8 per cent were unsure.

The online poll, which weighed and matched data with census data to ensure a nationally representative sample, also found Kiwis are not xenophobic in opposing a Crafar sale to the Chinese.

The main reasons given for not selling to foreign companies were to keep control of our primary resource, and so that Kiwis benefited from exports, not foreigners.

Though 81 per cent opposed Chinese companies being allowed to buy agricultural land, 76 per cent were against US buyers, 67 per cent did not want British companies buying, and Australia got a 54 per cent thumbs down.

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Herald Digipoll on gay adoption

November 2, 2011

The Herald reports:

A majority of voters support changing the law to allow gay couples to adopt children, according to the latest Herald-DigiPoll survey. …

More than half – 54.3 per cent – of the poll respondents said the law should be changed to allow gay couples to adopt children, 38 per cent disagreed, and 7.7 per cent did not know or refused to answer.

 

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Fairfax Research International Poll October 2011

November 2, 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Dates: 27 to 31 October 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 52.6% (-1.7%)
  • Labour 31.3% (+3.2%)
  • Green 9.7% (-0.4%)
  • ACT 1.2% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.2% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.9%)
  • NZ First 1.5% (-0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 52/124 -10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52.8% (+1.8%)
  • Phil Goff 9.1% (+2.2%)
  • Winston Peters 3.0% (+0.2%)
Christchurch Earthquake Recover
  • 48% of Canterbury residents say decision making is too slow
  • 55% say they have had ample opportunity to contribute to CBD planning process
  • 60% say speed of demolition and rebuild of CBD has been as fast as expected
Govt handling of economy
  • 50.6% good
  • 30% not so sure
  • 15.7% poor
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Least Preferred PM

November 1, 2011

The Herald on Sunday reports:

Phil Goff might be the Labour Party’s chosen one – but it doesn’t look like anyone else wants him. After hundreds of polls asking who voters prefer as prime minister, the Herald on Sunday this week asked who they least wanted.

According to the Key Research poll of 1182 voters, the clear “winner” was Goff at 25.6 per cent. …

The Act leader polled second on 14.5 per cent and Mana Party leader Harawira was third on 13.2 per cent.

John Key, who polled fourth “worst” on 7.8 per cent, also refused to comment.

 

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HoS Key Research MMP Poll

November 1, 2011

According to a 1200-voter Key Research phone poll commissioned by the Herald on Sunday, regular voters are firmly behind MMP – three voters want to keep it for every two who want it dumped.

The Herald on Sunday poll finds 45 per cent of voters want to keep MMP and 28 per cent want it dropped. Only 1.2 per cent support SM, making it the least popular of the five systems that voters can choose from.

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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