Archives: NZ Issues Polls

Security Issues poll

July 12, 2015

Curia did a poll for the Dept of PM and Cabinet in October 2014 on security issues.

Findings include:

  • 10% of NZers think NZ faces a strong or great risk from terrorism, 39% a moderate risk, 39% a minimal risk and 9% no risk.
  • 68% of NZers think the GCSB overall is good (or very good) for New Zealand and only 7% bad
  • 76% of NZers think the SIS overall is good for New Zealand and only 5% bad
  • 71% of NZers think the Five Eyes agreement is good for New Zealand and only 9% bad
  • 29% of NZers think NZ intelligence agencies are interested in their private communications, while 62% do not think they are interested
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Trust in Occupations

June 9, 2015

Research NZ asked 500 NZers to rate how much they trusted 10 occupations on a 0 to 10 basis. The proportions who gave a 7 or higher were:

  1. Fire Service 93% (-4%)
  2. Ambulance Service 92% (-4%)
  3. Doctors and nurses 87% (-4%)
  4. Police 75% (-9%)
  5. School teachers 75% (-6%)
  6. Government employees 44% (+2%)
  7. Lawyers 43% (-4%)
  8. Local councillors 31% (+1%)
  9. MPs 25% (+7%)
  10. Journalists 23% (nc)

The change from 2013 is in brackets

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3 News Reid Research Poll May 2015

June 3, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 21 to 27 May 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.4% (-3.4%)
  • Labour 30.4% (+1.3%)
  • Green 11.1% (+1.8%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.1%  (-0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+1.3%)
  • Conservative 1.9% (-0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 37
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.4% (-4.6%)
  • Andrew Little 11.6% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 11.2% (+3.6%)

John Key

  • Went too far with ponytail pulling 52%
  • Was just horsing about 42%

House Affordability

  • 33% says Government is doing enough to keep prices under control
  • 60% say not enough
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One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2015

June 2, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,003 respondents, of whom 833 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates:  23 May to 27 May 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (-1%)
  • Labour 31.0% (nc)
  • Green 10.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.4% (+0.6%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-1.1%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.3% (+0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 38
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 2 + NZ First 9 = 12/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First. Labour could not form a Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44% (+2%)
  • Andrew Little 9% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 9% (-1%)

2015 Budget

  • 4% say made them better off
  • 10% say worse off
  • 72% no change

Property Tax Rules

  • 14% say Govt’s changes to tax investment homes wold within two years go too far
  • 28% say not far enough
  • 50% say are about right

 

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Euthanasia Poll April 2015

May 4, 2015

Research NZ surveyed 501 people:

  • 74% support doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
  • 20% opposed to doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
  • 51% support a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
  • 41% opposed to a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
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Head of State Poll April 2015

May 4, 2015

New Zealand Republic announced:

Our annual poll was conducted between April 6 and April 21 and shows 47% of Kiwis want our next Head of State to be a New Zealander. This is a rise of 3% since June 2014.

This is great news for our campaign with the poll showing a corresponding decrease in support for the British Monarch to 46%. This is the highest ever result in our annual poll and the first time we have measured higher support than the Monarchy. Undecided voters remained at 7%.

The poll of 1000 people was carried out on landlines by Curia Market Research.

The detailed results were:

What is your preference for New Zealand’s next Head of State out of the following three options?

 * The next British Monarch becomes King of New Zealand? 46%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State elected by a two thirds majority in Parliament   11%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State who is elected by the popular vote 36%

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NZ Herald DigiPoll April 2015

April 29, 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 662 have a party preference

Undecideds: 11.8%

Dates: 17 April to 26 April 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 28.7% (-0.2%)
  • Green 10.8% (+1.3%)
  • NZ First 6.1% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-1.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 35
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 64.6% (-0.4%)
  • Andrew Little 13.9% (+0.3%)
  • Winston Peters 12.0% (+6.1%)

Ports of Auckland

  • 46% of Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 50% are opposed
  • 45% of non Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 45% are opposed

NZ Flag

  • Time for a new flag yes 25%
  • Time for a new flag no 70%

Surplus

  • 37% say not achieving surplus by 2014/15 does not matter
  • 29% says not achieving surplus seriously dents National’s credibility
  • 29% says not achieving surplus matters but not much if only delayed a year

Auckland Mayoralty (asked of all NZers, not just Aucklanders)

  • Phil Goff 27%
  • John Campbell 21%
  • Len Brown 8%
  • John Banks 7%
  • Maurice Williamson 5%
  • Penny Hulse 5%
  • Cameron Brewer 3%
  • Don’t Know 25%

Iraq

  • 57% agree with decision to deploy troops
  • 34% disagree

Intelligence Agencies

  • 33% say they always work within the law
  • 30% say did not have confidence in them in the past but now more confident they act properly
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Q+A poll on Iraq

April 26, 2015

One News reports:

A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.

  • 49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.

  • 30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.

  • 9% said it is for some other reason.

  • 11% don’t know.

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One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2015

April 19, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 9%

Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.0% (nc)
  • Green 9% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 38
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (+1.0%)
  • Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)

Economic Direction

  • Better 48% (-5%)
  • Worse 28% (+4%)
  • Same 24% (+1%)

Cannabis

  • Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
  • Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
  • Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
  • Should be legalised 7% (-2%)

Zero hour contracts

  • Should be illegal 77%
  • Not illegal 19%

David Bain

  • Should be paid compensation 69%
  • No compensation 19%
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Wellington local government amalgamation poll

February 24, 2015

The Dominion Post reports:

Nearly three quarters of people living in the Wellington region do not want to be part of a proposed super-city, a new poll reveals.

Wellington City Council has released the results of a Nielsen survey it commissioned this month, which found just 26 per cent support across the Wellington region for merging its nine councils. …

Wellington City Council’s survey found support for the proposal was just 17 per cent in the Wairarapa and 18 per cent in Hutt Valley.

Support in Porirua and Kapiti was slightly higher at 29 per cent, while 30 per cent of those living in Wellington city were keen on the idea.

Wade-Brown said there was still an opportunity to re-think the super-city proposal and come up with a new approach.

The survey showed an alternative model with a separate Wairarapa council and one or more metro councils formed across the remainder of the region would have 50 per cent support.

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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 33.8% 42
Labour 31.2% 39
Green 9.8% 12
Act 9.3% 12
NZ First 7.0% 9
TPM 4.4% 6
CR 50.1% 63
CL 45.3% 57
7/04/25
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