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Newshub Reid Research poll late August 2017

September 3, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  approx 22 to 30 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 43.3% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 39.4% (+6.3%)
  • Green 6.1% (-2.2%)
  • NZ First 6.6% (-2.6%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (nc)
  • Mana
  • Opportunities 1.9% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 49
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + ACT 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 8 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 30.1% (+2.4%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (+3.6%)
  • Winston Peters 6.9% (-3.1%)
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Whangarei poll

September 3, 2017

Colmar Brunton did a poll for Q+A in Whangarei. They found:

Party Vote

  • National 41%
  • Labour 37%
  • NZ First 16%
  • Greens 3.6%
  • Maori Party 1.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Shane Reti (N) 42%
  • Shane Jones (NZF) 24%
  • Tony Savage (L) 22%
  • Ash Holwell (G) 10%
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Poll on Israel

September 3, 2017

A poll by Curia for the NZ Israel Institute found:

  • 55% support the right of Israel to exist as a Jewish state and 13% opposed
  • 30% believe NZ should have abstained on the UN Security Council resolution and 27% support the co-sponsoring
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One News Colmar Brunton poll late August 2017

August 31, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 26 August to 30 August 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 43.0% (+6.0%)
  • Green 5.0% (+0.7%)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-2.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.7%)
  • ACT
  • Opportunities 1.0% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 53
  • Green 6
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + ACT 1 = 51/121 – 11 fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.0% (+3%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 34% (+4%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-3%)
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Te Tai Tonga poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 47.6% (+10.7%)
  • Maori Party 11.7% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 14.4% (+1.5%)
  • Greens 9.3% (+7.2%)
  • National 14.1% (-0.3%)

Electorate Vote

  • Rino Tirikatene (L) 57.1% (+14.2%)
  • Mei Reedy-Taare (M) 22.1% (-2.8%)
  • Metiria Turei (G) 20.7% (-4.1%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Te Tai Hauauru poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 41.8% (-0.4%)
  • Maori Party 24.0% (+6.4%)
  • NZ First 11.0% (-0.8%)
  • Greens 8.1% (-3.8%)
  • National 11.2% (+4.1%)

Electorate Vote

  • Adrian Rurawhe (L) 39.0% (-2.3%)
  • Howie Tamati (M) 52.0% (+18.6%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Ikaroa-Rawhiti poll

August 30, 2017

Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50.4% (+2.3%)
  • Maori Party 21.1% (+8.7%)
  • NZ First 12.0% (+0.6%)
  • Greens 7.5% (-3.9%)
  • National 5.9% (+0.4%)

Electorate Vote

  • Meka Whaitiri (L) 55.0% (+8.7%)
  • Marama Fox (M) 39.0% (+20.7%)

The changes are from the election result.

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Roy Morgan poll August 2017

August 25, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 873 of whom 816 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 31 July to 13 August 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 42.5% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (-4.5%)
  • NZ First 11.5% (+3.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 52
  • Labour 40
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 14
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 52 + ACT 1 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 11 = 51/120 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 14 + Maori 2 = 16/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 62.5% (-0.5%)
  • Wrong 23.5% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (+0.5%)
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Capable leader poll

August 25, 2017

The Herald reports:

Labour leader Jacinda Ardern has eclipsed Andrew Little’s ratings in a poll to rate the most capable person of running the Government but is well behind Bill English.

English, the National Party leader and Prime Minister, is streets ahead of the newcomer and he has improved on his ratings in the Herald-ZB-Kantar TNS poll.

English was rated most capable by 45 per cent compared with his rating of 41 per cent in July.

Ardern was rated the most capable by 32 per cent, a huge improvement on the 10 per cent that former leader Andrew Little got last month.

New Zealand First leader Winston Peters was rated by 7 per cent, two points lower than July.

 

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Q+A Colmar Brunton Ohariu poll August 2017

August 18, 2017

From Colmar Brunton:

Party Vote

  • National 46%
  • Labour 35%
  • Greens 12%
  • NZ First 4%
  • TOP 1.8%
  • United Future 0.5%
  • Maori 0.4%
  • ACT 0.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Greg O’Connor 48%
  • Peter Dunne 34%
  • Brett Hudson 14%
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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